In: Finance
1 What do the hedging alternatives look like given the following information for a 90-day, 1,000,000 account receivable? Spot rate: 1.4 to 1 domestic to foreign 90-day forward rate: 1.3 to 1 Money market periodic: 0.1% OTC Option with strike price of 1.35 to 1 at a cost of 0.5%
Let us break down the scenarios in simple terms. Let the foreign
currency be denoted by F and the domestic currency be denoted by
D.
We have 1,000,000 account receivable in foreign currency. As per
the spot rate of 1.4F= 1D, the account receivable in domestic
currency = 1,000,000/1.4= 714,285.71 D
Money market periodic= | 0.10% | |
Spot rate (F/D)= | 1.4 | |
Spot rate (D/F)= | 0.714286 | =1/1.4 |
Periodic is usually given in domestic currency terms. | ||
90 days forward rate (D/F)= | S0* e^(rt) | |
0.714357 | =0.714286*EXP((0.0001)) | |
90 days forward rate (F/D)= | 1.39986 | =1/0.714357 |
Hedging alternative 1- buy OTC option (sell F after 90 days for 1.35F=1D) -
Cost = | 0.50% | ||
Cost (F)= | 5000 | =1000000*0.5% |
Since this cost is to be paid at the initiation of the contract
i.e. today, we can use the current spot rate to calculate the
equivalent D
Cost (D)= | 3571 | =5000/1.4 |
At expiry, expected spot price (90 days forward as calculated
above) is 1.39986 F= 1D. The option will be in the money and will
be exercised.
Payoff from exercising option= | 740741 | =1000000/1.35 |
Payoff from then spot rate= | 714357 | =1000000/1.39986 |
Profit from hedging | 22812 | =(740,741-714,357)-3571 |
Hence, The hedging strategy of purchasing options is
profitable.
Hedging alternative 2- buy forward rate contract (lock forward
price of 1.3F= 1D)-
Forward contract rate | 1.3 | |
90 days forward estimated rate= | 1.39986 | |
Payoff from exercising option= | 769231 | =1000000/1.3 |
Payoff from then spot rate= | 714357 | =1000000/1.39986 |
Profit from hedging | 54874 | =769,231-714,357 |
Hence, the hedging strategy of purchasing forward rate is
profitable.