Answer : Following are eight red
flags that can indicate trouble for a business.
- Rising debt-to-equity ratio: This indicates
that the company is absorbing more debt than it can handle. A red
flag should be raised if the debt-to-equity ratio is over 100%. You
can also take a look at the falling interest coverage ratio, which
is calculated by dividing net interest payments by operating
earnings. If the ratio is less than five, there is cause for
concern.
- Several years of revenue trending down: If a
company has three or more years of declining revenues, it is
probably not a good investment. While cost-cutting measures—such as
wasteful spending and reduction in headcount—can help to offset a
revenue downturn, it probably won’t if the company has not
rebounded in three years.
- Large “other” expenses on the balance sheet:
Many organizations have “other expenses” that are inconsistent or
too small to really quantify, which is normal across income
statements and balance sheets. If these “other” line items have
high values, then you should find out what they are specifically,
if you can. You’ll also want to know if these expenses are likely
to recur.
- Unsteady cash flow: Cash flow is a good sign
of a healthy organization but it should be a flow, back and forth,
up and down. A stockpile of cash can indicate that accounts are
being settled, but there isn’t much new work coming in. Conversely,
a shortage of cash could be indicative of under-billing for work by
the company.
- Rising accounts receivable or inventory in relation to
sales: Money that is tied up inaccounts receivable or has
already been used to produce inventory is money that cannot
generate a return. While it’s important to have enough inventory to
fulfill orders, a company doesn’t want to have a significant
portion of its revenue sitting unsold in a warehouse.
- Rising outstanding share count: The more
shares that are available for purchase in the stock market, the
more diluted shareholders’ stake in the company becomes. If a
company’s share count is rising by two or three percent per year,
this indicates they are selling more shares and diluting the
organization’s value.
- Consistently higher liabilities than assets:
Some organizations experience a steady stream of assets and
liabilities as their business does not hinge on seasonal shifts or
is less affected by market pressure. For companies that are more
cyclical (i.e. construction companies during the winter months),
however, it’s possible that its liabilities will outweigh its
assets. Technically, this should be something the company can plan
around, thereby decreasing the discrepancy. If a company is
consistently assuming more liability without a proportionate
increase in assets, however, it could be a sign it is
over-leveraged.
- Decreasing gross profit margin: As this
measures a company’s ratio of profits earned to costs over a set
period of time, a declining profit margin is cause for alarm. The
profit margin must account not only for the costs to produce the
product or service, but the additional money needed to cover
operating expenses, such as costs of debt.