In: Statistics and Probability
TABLE 14-3
An economist is interested to see how consumption for an economy (in $ billions) is influenced by gross domestic product ($ billions) and aggregate price (consumer price index). The Microsoft Excel output of this regression is partially reproduced below.
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.991
R Square 0.982
Adjusted R Square 0.976
Standard Error 0.299
Observations 10
ANOVA
df
SS
MS
F Signif F
Regsion 2 33.4163
16.7082 186.325 0.0001
Resdual 7 0.6277
0.0897
Total 9 34.0440
Coeff StdError t
Stat P-value
Intcept – 0.0861
0.5674 – 0.152
0.8837
GDP
0.7654 0.0574
13.340 0.0001
Price – 0.0006
0.0028 – 0.219 0.8330
Referring to Table 14-3, when the economist used a simple linear regression model with consumption as the dependent variable and GDP as the independent variable, he obtained an r2 value of 0.971. What additional percentage of the total variation of consumption has been explained by including aggregate prices in the multiple regression? In other words, the economist was explaining 97.1%, how much has that percentage or R-square increased after adding "price" as a second independent variable?
Question 6 options:
.111 or 11.1% |
|
.028 or 2.8% |
|
.982 or 98.2% |
|
.011 or 1.1% |
we have the summary of Regreession Analysis
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.991
R Square 0.982
Adjusted R Square 0.976
Standard Error 0.299
Observations 10
ANOVA
df
SS
MS
F Signif F
Regsion 2 33.4163
16.7082 186.325 0.0001
Resdual 7 0.6277
0.0897
Total 9 34.0440
Coeff StdError t
Stat P-value
Intcept – 0.0861
0.5674 – 0.152
0.8837
GDP
0.7654 0.0574
13.340 0.0001
Price – 0.0006
0.0028 – 0.219 0.8330
the value of R2 before adding the price was 0.971
the value of R2 after adding the price was 0.982
the percentage or R-square increased after adding "price" as a second independent variable is 0.982-0.971 = 0.011 ~1.1%
so option D is true