In: Statistics and Probability
Let x be a random variable that represents the level of glucose in the blood (milligrams per deciliter of blood) after a 12 hour fast. Assume that for people under 50 years old, x has a distribution that is approximately normal, with mean μ = 75 and estimated standard deviation σ = 50. A test result x < 40 is an indication of severe excess insulin, and medication is usually prescribed.
(a) What is the probability that, on a single test, x
< 40? (Round your answer to four decimal places.)
(b) Suppose a doctor uses the average x for two tests
taken about a week apart. What can we say about the probability
distribution of x? Hint: See Theorem 6.1.
The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μx = 75 and σx = 25.00.The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μx = 75 and σx = 35.36. The probability distribution of x is not normal.The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μx = 75 and σx = 50.
What is the probability that x < 40? (Round your answer
to four decimal places.)
(c) Repeat part (b) for n = 3 tests taken a week apart.
(Round your answer to four decimal places.)
(d) Repeat part (b) for n = 5 tests taken a week apart.
(Round your answer to four decimal places.)
Solution,
Given that ,
mean = 
 = 75
standard deviation = 
 = 50
a) P(x < 40 ) = P[(x - 
) / 
 < ( 40 - 75 ) / 50 ]
= P(z < -0.7)
Using z table
= 0.2420
b) n = 2

=   
= 75

= 
 / 
n = 50 / 
2 = 35.36
The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with
= 75 and 
= 35.36
P(
< 40 ) = P((
- 
) / 
< ( 40 - 75 ) / 35.36 )
= P(z < -0.99)
Using z table
= 0.1611
c) n = 3

= 75

= 
 / 
n = 50/ 
3 = 28.87
P(
< 40) = P((
- 
) / 
< ( 40 - 75 ) / 28.87)
= P(z < -1.21)
Using z table
= 0.1131
d) n = 5

= 75

= 
 / 
n = 50/ 
5 = 22.36
P(
< 40) = P((
- 
) / 
< ( 40 - 75 ) / 22.36 )
= P(z < -1.57)
Using z table
= 0.0582