In: Economics
How might we reconcile the phillips curve curve with the concept of the natural rtae of unemployment?
Philips curve shows the inverse relation between inflation and
unemployment. The higher inflation will leads to lower of
unemployment rate. In real world both unemployment and inflation
are very high than the Philips curve leads to stagflation. The
short run Philips curve is downwards sloping, on the other hand,
there is no relation between inflation and unemployment in long
run. Because the long run Philips curve is a vertical line. The
none accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) states
that, when unemployment equal natural rate of unemployment the
inflation become stable. If the unemployment is below or above the
natural rate the inflation will accelerate or decelerate. There are
several expansionary efforts put forward to decrease unemployment
rate below its natural rate, but this lead to high level
inflation.
The aggregate supply shocks caused due to high level of
stagflation. This decrease in aggregate supply reduce real GDP
output and also increase the unemployment level and the price level
rises. Through this shift in aggregate supply leads to cost push
inflation. So the inflation and unemployment rate in long run were
determined through natural rate of unemployment.