In: Statistics and Probability
“Criminologists have long debated whether there is [an
association] between weather and violent crime. The author of the
article "Is There a Season for Homicide?" (Criminology (1988): 287
- 296) classified [1352] homicides according to season, resulting
in the accompany data.”
Results of the author’s study found the following counts of
homicide in the population studied.
• winter = 311
• spring = 320
• summer = 401
• fall = 320
Does it appear that homicide counts differ by season? You must
identify the correct analysis and present results in APA style.
Chi square test for Goodness of fit
expected frequncy,E = expected proportions*total
frequency
total frequency= 1352
observed frequencey, O | expected proportion | expected frequency,E | (O-E)²/E | ||
311 | 0.250 | 338.00 | 2.157 | ||
320 | 0.250 | 338.00 | 0.959 | ||
401 | 0.250 | 338.00 | 11.743 | ||
320 | 0.250 | 338.00 | 0.959 |
chi square test statistic,X² = Σ(O-E)²/E =
15.817
Ho: homicide counts do not differ by season
H1: homicide counts differ by season
chi square test statistic,X² = Σ(O-E)²/E =
15.817
level of significance, α= 0.05
Degree of freedom=k-1= 4 -
1 = 3
P value = 0.0012 [ excel
function: =chisq.dist.rt(test-stat,df) ]
Decision: P value < α, Reject Ho
there is enough evidence to conclude that homicide counts differ by season