Question

In: Statistics and Probability

“Criminologists have long debated whether there is [an association] between weather and violent crime. The author...

“Criminologists have long debated whether there is [an association] between weather and violent crime. The author of the article "Is There a Season for Homicide?" (Criminology (1988): 287 - 296) classified [1352] homicides according to season, resulting in the accompany data.”
Results of the author’s study found the following counts of homicide in the population studied.
• winter = 311
• spring = 320
• summer = 401
• fall = 320
Does it appear that homicide counts differ by season? You must identify the correct analysis and present results in APA style.

Solutions

Expert Solution

Chi square test for Goodness of fit  
  
expected frequncy,E = expected proportions*total frequency  
total frequency=   1352

observed frequencey, O expected proportion expected frequency,E (O-E)²/E
311 0.250 338.00 2.157
320 0.250 338.00 0.959
401 0.250 338.00 11.743
320 0.250 338.00 0.959

chi square test statistic,X² = Σ(O-E)²/E =   15.817

Ho: homicide counts do not differ by season

H1: homicide counts differ by season

chi square test statistic,X² = Σ(O-E)²/E =   15.817              
                  
level of significance, α=   0.05              
Degree of freedom=k-1=   4   -   1   =   3
                  
P value =   0.0012   [ excel function: =chisq.dist.rt(test-stat,df) ]          
Decision: P value < α, Reject Ho                  

there is enough evidence to conclude that homicide counts differ by season


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