Question

In: Statistics and Probability

A store manager believes items with discounts (10% off, 20% off, etc.) sell better than items...

A store manager believes items with discounts (10% off, 20% off, etc.) sell better than items offered at full price. She also believes items with well-known brand names sell better than items not associated with a well-known brand. Furthermore, she believes that when the prices of brand-name items are discounted sales are much higher than normal.

You think this sounds like she is describing an interaction between brand-named and discounts and you want to use regression to test the effects of discounts, brands, and their interaction.

Assume that the manager provides the following IVs:

  • sales                     number of sales (the DV
  • item_cost            cost of the item (a continuous IV)
  • brand (0,1)          brand=1 for items associated with a well-known brand and 0 otherwise
  • discount (0,1)      discount = 1 for items with discounted prices and 0 otherwise

Question: What specific evidence would you need to conclude that the interaction does affect sales?

Solutions

Expert Solution

In the Problem we have to use Regression model with interaction term of categorical data.

Let Y : Sales items cost Number of sales cost of the items.

X1 : Brand of an item represented by an indicator variable.

brand=1 for items associated with a well-known brand and 0 otherwise.

X2: Discount (0,1) represented by indicator variable.

discount = 1 for items with discounted prices and 0 otherwise

Now to study interaction between brand-named and discounts , I have introduced third variable in the regression model given below,

Let X3 = Brand name × Discount

Then the regression model becomes,

Where a: estimated mean sales when data contains 0.

b1, b2, b12 are the regression coefficients.

Then we fit the multiple regression model including brands , discounts and their interactions.

Then we conduct a hypothesis test to determine whether there is a significant linear relationship between an independent variable X1, X2 , X3 and a dependent variableY.

The test procedure consists of four steps: (1) state the hypotheses, (2) formulate an analysis plan, (3) analyze sample data, and (4) interpret results.

Step 1) : Set null hypothesis: H0= b12=0 Vs H1 = b12 0

If the null hypothesis is rejected, then we say that iteration term X3 affect on Y (sales).

Step 2) formulate an analysis plan: It consists 2 steps:

  • Significance level. choose significance level equal to 0.01, 0.05, or 0.10; but any value between 0 and 1 can be used.
  • Test method. Use a linear regression t-test (described in the next section) to determine whether the slope of the regression line differs significantly from zero.

Step 3) Analyze sample data:

i) Find the standard errors of regression coefficients a , b1, b2 , b12 by using the following formula.

Similarly calculate for b2 and b12.

ii) Find DF: The degrees of freedom is equal to

DF = n-2

iii) Test statistic. The test statistic is a t statistic (t) defined by the following equation.

t1 = b1 / SE(b1)

where b1 is the slope of the sample regression line, and SE is the standard error of the slope.

iv)

  • P-value. The P-value is the probability of observing a sample statistic as extreme as the test statistic. Since the test statistic is a t statistic, use the t distribution calculator to assess the probability associated with the test statistic. Use the degrees of freedom computed above.

Step v) Interpret the results: This involves comparing the P-value to the significance level, and rejecting the null hypothesis when the P-value is less than the significance level.

All above steps can be summarised in table given below,

Regression equation: Y = a+b1 X1+ b2 X2 + b12X3 +€
Predictors Coeff SEcoeff Test statistic P value
Constant SE(a)

to

P0
Brands(X1) SE(b1) t1 P1
Discounts(X2) SE(b2) t2 P2
Interaction (X3) SE(b12) t3 P3

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