In: Finance
20
Happy Times, Inc., wants to expand its party stores into the Southeast. In order to establish an immediate presence in the area, the company is considering the purchase of the privately held Joe’s Party Supply. Happy Times currently has debt outstanding with a market value of $170 million and a YTM of 8 percent. The company’s market capitalization is $410 million and the required return on equity is 13 percent. Joe’s currently has debt outstanding with a market value of $32 million. The EBIT for Joe’s next year is projected to be $15 million. EBIT is expected to grow at 7 percent per year for the next five years before slowing to 5 percent in perpetuity. Net working capital, capital spending, and depreciation as a percentage of EBIT are expected to be 6 percent, 12 percent, and 5 percent, respectively. Joe’s has 2 million shares outstanding and the tax rate for both companies is 35 percent. |
a. |
What is the maximum share price that Happy Times should be willing to pay for Joe’s? (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) |
b. | After examining your analysis, the CFO of Happy Times is uncomfortable using the perpetual growth rate in cash flows. Instead, she feels that the terminal value should be estimated using the EV/EBITDA multiple. The appropriate EV/EBITDA multiple is 7. What is your new estimate of the maximum share price for the purchase? (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) |
1). WACC Calculation:
Amount |
Weight (Amount/Total) |
Cost |
Weighted cost (Cost*weight) |
|
Debt | 170 | 0.29 | 5.20% | 1.52% |
Equity | 410 | 0.71 | 13.00% | 9.19% |
Total | 580 | 1.00 | WACC | 10.71% |
Note: cost of debt is after-tax: YTM*(1-tax rate) = 8%*(1-35%)
2). Calculation of Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) and then, equity value per share using the WACC of 10.71%
Formula | Year (n) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Perpetuity |
7%
p.a. growth for 5 yrs and 5% p.a. in perpetuity EBIT*(1+g) |
EBIT | 15.00 | 16.05 | 17.17 | 18.38 | 19.66 | 20.65 |
35%*EBIT | Tax | 5.25 | 5.62 | 6.01 | 6.43 | 6.88 | 7.23 |
EBIT - Tax | Net income (NI) | 9.75 | 10.43 | 11.16 | 11.94 | 12.78 | 13.42 |
5% of EBIT | Add:depreciation (D) | 0.75 | 0.80 | 0.86 | 0.92 | 0.98 | 1.03 |
6% of EBIT | Working Capital (WC) | 0.90 | 0.96 | 1.03 | 1.10 | 1.18 | 1.24 |
(Last year's WC - this year's WC | Less: Change in NWC (CWC) | -0.90 | -0.06 | -0.07 | -0.07 | -0.08 | -0.06 |
12% of EBIT | Less: Capex | -1.80 | -1.93 | -2.06 | -2.21 | -2.36 | -2.48 |
(NI + D + CWC + Capex) | Cash flows | 7.80 | 9.25 | 9.89 | 10.59 | 11.33 | 11.92 |
CF in perpetuity/(WACC-perpetuity growth rate) | Terminal cash flow | 208.5329 | |||||
FCFF | 7.80 | 9.25 | 9.89 | 10.59 | 11.33 | 208.53 | |
1/(1+WACC)^n | Discount Factor @WACC | 0.903 | 0.816 | 0.737 | 0.666 | 0.601 | 0.601 |
FCFF*Discount factor | PV of FCFF | 7.045 | 7.543 | 7.290 | 7.046 | 6.809 | 125.362 |
Sum of all PVs | Value of the firm | 161.095 | |||||
Less: debt | -32 | ||||||
Equity Value | 129.10 | ||||||
Number of shares O/S | 2 | ||||||
Equity value/number of shares | Value per share | 64.55 |
a). Happy Times should be willing to pay a maximum of $64.55 per share for Joe's.
b). Using EV/EBITDA multiple fo 7 for terminal cash flows:
Formula | Year (n) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Terminal |
7% p.a.
growth for 5 yrs and 5% p.a. in perpetuity EBIT*(1+g) |
EBIT | 15.00 | 16.05 | 17.17 | 18.38 | 19.66 | 20.65 |
35%*EBIT | Tax | 5.25 | 5.62 | 6.01 | 6.43 | 6.88 | |
EBIT - Tax | Net income (NI) | 9.75 | 10.43 | 11.16 | 11.94 | 12.78 | |
5% of EBIT | Add:depreciation (D) | 0.75 | 0.80 | 0.86 | 0.92 | 0.98 | 1.03 |
6% of EBIT | Working Capital (WC) | 0.90 | 0.96 | 1.03 | 1.10 | 1.18 | |
(Last year's WC - this year's WC | Less: Change in NWC (CWC) | -0.90 | -0.06 | -0.07 | -0.07 | -0.08 | |
12% of EBIT | Less: Capex | -1.80 | -1.93 | -2.06 | -2.21 | -2.36 | |
(NI + D + CWC + Capex) | Cash flows | 7.80 | 9.25 | 9.89 | 10.59 | 11.33 | |
(Terminal EBIT + Dep.) | Terminal EBITDA | 21.68 | |||||
(Terminal EBITDA*EV/EBITDA multiple) | Terminal cash flow | 151.74 | |||||
FCFF | 7.80 | 9.25 | 9.89 | 10.59 | 11.33 | 151.74 | |
1/(1+WACC)^n | Discount Factor @WACC | 0.903 | 0.816 | 0.737 | 0.666 | 0.601 | 0.601 |
FCFF*Discount factor | PV of FCFF | 7.045 | 7.543 | 7.290 | 7.046 | 6.809 | 91.221 |
Sum of all PVs | Value of the firm | 126.954 | |||||
Less: debt | -32 | ||||||
Equity Value | 94.95 | ||||||
Number of shares O/S | 2 | ||||||
Equity value/number of shares | Value per share | 47.48 |
Using the EV/EBITDA multiple, Happy Times can pay a maximum of $47.48 per share.