In: Finance
Happy Times, Inc., wants to expand its party stores into the Southeast. In order to establish an immediate presence in the area, the company is considering the purchase of the privately held Joe’s Party Supply. Happy Times currently has debt outstanding with a market value of $150 million and a YTM of 5 percent. The company’s market capitalization is $390 million, and the required return on equity is 10 percent. Joe’s currently has debt outstanding with a market value of $31 million. The EBIT for Joe’s next year is projected to be $12 million. EBIT is expected to grow at 9 percent per year for the next five years before slowing to 2 percent in perpetuity. Net working capital, capital spending, and depreciation as a percentage of EBIT are expected to be 8 percent, 14 percent, and 7 percent, respectively. Joe’s has 1.9 million shares outstanding, and the tax rate for both companies is 30 percent.
a. What is the maximum share price that Happy
Times should be willing to pay for Joe’s? (Do not round
intermediate calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal
places, e.g., 32.16.)
Maximum share price
After examining your analysis, the CFO of Happy Times is
uncomfortable using the perpetual growth rate in cash flows.
Instead, she feels that the terminal value should be estimated
using the EV/EBITDA multiple. The appropriate EV/EBITDA multiple is
9.
b. What is your new estimate of the maximum share
price for the purchase? (Do not round intermediate
calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g.,
32.16.)
Maximum share price
$
A1 | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | N |
2 | 2/19/2017 | ||||||||||||
3 | 2 | ||||||||||||
4 | For Happy Time Inc. | ||||||||||||
5 | Tax Rate | 30% | |||||||||||
6 | Debt market Value | $150 | million | ||||||||||
7 | YTM | 5% | |||||||||||
8 | Market Value of equity | $390 | million | ||||||||||
9 | Required return on equity | 10% | |||||||||||
10 | Total market value | $540 | million | ||||||||||
11 | W(D) | 0.28 | |||||||||||
12 | W(E) | 0.72 | |||||||||||
13 | WACC | 8.19% | |||||||||||
14 | |||||||||||||
15 | For Joe's Party Supply | ||||||||||||
16 | debt market value | $31 | million | ||||||||||
17 | EBIT next year | $12 | million | ||||||||||
18 | EBIT Growth Rate (5 Years) | 9% | |||||||||||
19 | Terminal (Growth rate) | 2% | |||||||||||
20 | Net working capital | 8% | |||||||||||
21 | Capital Spending | 14% | |||||||||||
22 | Depreciation | 7% | |||||||||||
23 | Tax rate | 30% | |||||||||||
24 | a) | ||||||||||||
25 | Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | … | ||
26 | EBIT | $12.00 | $13.08 | $14.26 | $15.54 | $16.94 | $18.46 | $18.83 | $19.21 | $19.59 | |||
27 | Depreciation | $0.84 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $1.09 | $1.19 | $1.29 | $1.32 | $1.34 | $1.37 | |||
28 | Operating Cash Flow | $9.24 | $10.07 | $10.98 | $11.97 | $13.04 | $14.22 | $14.50 | $14.79 | $15.09 | |||
29 | Capital Spending | $1.68 | $1.83 | $2.00 | $2.18 | $2.37 | $2.58 | $2.64 | $2.69 | $2.74 | |||
30 | Net Working Capital | $0.96 | $1.05 | $1.14 | $1.24 | $1.36 | $1.48 | $1.51 | $1.54 | $1.57 | |||
31 | Free cash flow | $6.60 | $7.19 | $7.84 | $8.55 | $9.32 | $10.15 | $10.36 | $10.57 | $10.78 | |||
32 | Growth Rate | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||||
33 | Terminal Value | 167.2146 | |||||||||||
34 | Present Value of Cash Flows | $6.10 | $6.15 | $6.19 | $6.24 | $6.28 | $110.57 | ||||||
35 | Value of the company | $141.53 | million | ||||||||||
36 | Value of debt | $31 | million | ||||||||||
37 | Value of equity | $110.53 | million | ||||||||||
38 | Number of shares outstanding | 1.9 | million | ||||||||||
39 | Maximum Share Price | $55.27 | |||||||||||
40 | |||||||||||||
41 | b) | ||||||||||||
42 | EBIT next Year | $12 | million | ||||||||||
43 | Depreciation Next Year | $0.84 | million | ||||||||||
44 | EBITDA | $12.84 | million | ||||||||||
45 | EV/EBITDA | 9 | |||||||||||
46 | EV | $115.56 | million | ||||||||||
47 | Value of debt | $31 | million | ||||||||||
48 | Value of equity | $84.56 | million | ||||||||||
49 | Number of shares outstanding | 1.9 | million | ||||||||||
50 | Maximum Price per share | $44.51 | million | ||||||||||
51 | |||||||||||||
52 |
Formula sheet
A1 | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | N |
2 | 42785 | ||||||||||||
3 | 2 | ||||||||||||
4 | For Happy Time Inc. | ||||||||||||
5 | Tax Rate | 0.3 | |||||||||||
6 | Debt market Value | 150 | million | ||||||||||
7 | YTM | 0.05 | |||||||||||
8 | Market Value of equity | 390 | million | ||||||||||
9 | Required return on equity | 0.1 | |||||||||||
10 | Total market value | =D8+D6 | million | ||||||||||
11 | W(D) | =D6/D10 | |||||||||||
12 | W(E) | =D8/D10 | |||||||||||
13 | WACC | =D11*D7*(1-D5)+D12*D9 | |||||||||||
14 | |||||||||||||
15 | For Joe's Party Supply | ||||||||||||
16 | debt market value | 31 | million | ||||||||||
17 | EBIT next year | 12 | million | ||||||||||
18 | EBIT Growth Rate (5 Years) | 0.09 | |||||||||||
19 | Terminal (Growth rate) | 0.02 | |||||||||||
20 | Net working capital | 0.08 | |||||||||||
21 | Capital Spending | 0.14 | |||||||||||
22 | Depreciation | 0.07 | |||||||||||
23 | Tax rate | 0.3 | |||||||||||
24 | a) | ||||||||||||
25 | Year | 0 | =D25+1 | =E25+1 | =F25+1 | =G25+1 | =H25+1 | =I25+1 | =J25+1 | =K25+1 | … | ||
26 | EBIT | =D17 | =E26*(1+$D$18) | =F26*(1+$D$18) | =G26*(1+$D$18) | =H26*(1+$D$18) | =I26*(1+$D$18) | =J26*(1+2%) | =K26*(1+2%) | =L26*(1+2%) | |||
27 | Depreciation | =E26*$D$22 | =F26*$D$22 | =G26*$D$22 | =H26*$D$22 | =I26*$D$22 | =J26*$D$22 | =K26*$D$22 | =L26*$D$22 | =M26*$D$22 | |||
28 | Operating Cash Flow | =E26*(1-$D$23)+E27 | =F26*(1-$D$23)+F27 | =G26*(1-$D$23)+G27 | =H26*(1-$D$23)+H27 | =I26*(1-$D$23)+I27 | =J26*(1-$D$23)+J27 | =K26*(1-$D$23)+K27 | =L26*(1-$D$23)+L27 | =M26*(1-$D$23)+M27 | |||
29 | Capital Spending | =E26*$D$21 | =F26*$D$21 | =G26*$D$21 | =H26*$D$21 | =I26*$D$21 | =J26*$D$21 | =K26*$D$21 | =L26*$D$21 | =M26*$D$21 | |||
30 | Net Working Capital | =E26*$D$20 | =F26*$D$20 | =G26*$D$20 | =H26*$D$20 | =I26*$D$20 | =J26*$D$20 | =K26*$D$20 | =L26*$D$20 | =M26*$D$20 | |||
31 | Free cash flow | =E28-E29-E30 | =F28-F29-F30 | =G28-G29-G30 | =H28-H29-H30 | =I28-I29-I30 | =J28-J29-J30 | =K28-K29-K30 | =L28-L29-L30 | =M28-M29-M30 | |||
32 | Growth Rate | =F31/E31-1 | =G31/F31-1 | =H31/G31-1 | =I31/H31-1 | =J31/I31-1 | =K31/J31-1 | =L31/K31-1 | =M31/L31-1 | ||||
33 | Terminal Value | =K31/(D13-K32) | |||||||||||
34 | Present Value of Cash Flows | =E31/((1+$D$13)^E25) | =F31/((1+$D$13)^F25) | =G31/((1+$D$13)^G25) | =H31/((1+$D$13)^H25) | =I31/((1+$D$13)^I25) | =(J31+J33)/((1+$D$13)^J25) | ||||||
35 | Value of the company | =SUM(E34:J34) | million | ||||||||||
36 | Value of debt | =D16 | million | ||||||||||
37 | Value of equity | =D35-D36 | million | ||||||||||
38 | Number of shares outstanding | 1.9 | million | ||||||||||
39 | Maximum Share Price | =D37/2 | |||||||||||
40 | |||||||||||||
41 | b) | ||||||||||||
42 | EBIT next Year | =D17 | million | ||||||||||
43 | Depreciation Next Year | =E27 | million | ||||||||||
44 | EBITDA | =D42+D43 | million | ||||||||||
45 | EV/EBITDA | 9 | |||||||||||
46 | EV | =D44*D45 | million | ||||||||||
47 | Value of debt | =D16 | million | ||||||||||
48 | Value of equity | =D46-D47 | million | ||||||||||
49 | Number of shares outstanding | 1.9 | million | ||||||||||
50 | Maximum Price per share | =D48/D49 | million | ||||||||||
51 |