In: Finance
Happy Times, Inc., wants to expand its party stores into the Southeast. In order to establish an immediate presence in the area, the company is considering the purchase of the privately held Joe’s Party Supply. Happy Times currently has debt outstanding with a market value of $210 million and a YTM of 8 percent. The company’s market capitalization is $310 million and the required return on equity is 13 percent. Joe’s currently has debt outstanding with a market value of $28 million. The EBIT for Joe’s next year is projected to be $15 million. EBIT is expected to grow at 7 percent per year for the next five years before slowing to 5 percent in perpetuity. Net working capital, capital spending, and depreciation as a percentage of EBIT are expected to be 6 percent, 12 percent, and 5 percent, respectively. Joe’s has 1.95 million shares outstanding and the tax rate for both companies is 35 percent.
a. What is the maximum share price that Happy Times should be willing to pay for Joe’s? (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.)
b. After examining your analysis, the CFO of Happy Times is uncomfortable using the perpetual growth rate in cash flows. Instead, she feels that the terminal value should be estimated using the EV/EBITDA multiple. The appropriate EV/EBITDA multiple is 7. What is your new estimate of the maximum share price for the purchase?
Part a)
Step 1: Calculate Weighted Average Cost of Capital for Happy Times
The WACC is calculated as below:
WACC = Weight of Debt*After-Tax Cost of Debt + Weight of Equity*Cost of Equity
where Weight of Debt = 210,000,000/(210,000,000+310,000,000), After-Tax Cost of Debt = 8*(1-35%) = 5.2%, Weight of Equity = 310,000,000/(210,000,000+310,000,000) and Cost of Equity = 13%
Using these values in the above formula, we get,
WACC = 210,000,000/(210,000,000+310,000,000)*5.2% + 310,000,000/(210,000,000+310,000,000)*13% = 9.85%
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Step 2: Calculate Annual Cash Flow
The value of annual cash flow is arrived as follows:
Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
EBIT | 15,000,000 | 16,050,000 | 17,173,500 | 18,375,645 | 19,661,940 |
Less Taxes | 5,250,000 | 5,617,500 | 6,010,725 | 6,431,476 | 6,881,679 |
Net Income | 9,750,000 | 10,432,500 | 11,162,775 | 11,944,169 | 12,780,261 |
Add Depreciation | 750,000 | 802,500 | 858,675 | 918,782 | 983,097 |
Operating Cash Flow | 10,500,000 | 11,235,000 | 12,021,450 | 12,862,952 | 13,763,358 |
Less Capital Spending | 1,800,000 | 1,926,000 | 2,060,820 | 2,205,077 | 2,359,433 |
Change in NWC | 900,000 | 963,000 | 1,030,410 | 1,102,539 | 1,179,716 |
Cash Flow from Assets | 7,800,000 | 8,346,000 | 8,930,220 | 9,555,335 | 10,224,209 |
Terminal Value [10,224,209*(1+5%)/(9.85%-5%)] | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 221,348,852 |
Annual Cash Flow | $7,800,000 | $8,346,000 | $8,930,220 | $9,555,335 | $231,573,061 |
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Step 3: Calculate Value of the Firm (Joe) Today
The value of the firm today is determined as below:
Value of the Firm Today = Cash Flow Year 1/(1+WACC)^1 + Cash Flow Year 2/(1+WACC)^2 + Cash Flow Year 3/(1+WACC)^3 + Cash Flow Year 4/(1+WACC)^4 + Cash Flow Year 5/(1+WACC)^5
Substituting values in the above formula, we get,
Value of the Firm Today (Joe) = 7,800,000/(1+9.85%)^1 + 8,346,000/(1+9.85%)^2 + 8,930,220/(1+9.85%)^3 + 9,555,335/(1+9.85%)^4 + 231,573,061/(1+9.85%)^5 = $172,089,086
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Step 4: Calculate Maximum Offer Price for Joe’s
The maximum offer price is arrived as follows:
Maximum Offer Price = (Value of the Firm Today (Joe) - Market Value of Debt (Joe))/Number of Shares Outstanding = (172,089,086 - 28,000,000)/1,950,000 = $73.89 (answer for Part a)
The maximum share price that Happy Times should be willing to pay for Joe’s is $73.89.
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Part b)
Step 1: Calculate Terminal Value using EV/EBITDA Multiple
The terminal value using EV/EBITDA multiple is calculated as follows:
EBITDA = EBIT for Year 5 + Depreciation for Year 5 = 19,661,940 + 983,097 = $20,645,037
Terminal Value = EBITDA*EV = 20,645,037*7 = $144,515,259
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Step 2: Calculate Revised Value of the Firm (Joe) Today
The revised value of the firm today is arrived as below:
Revised Value of the Firm Today (Joe) = 7,800,000/(1+9.85%)^1 + 8,346,000/(1+9.85%)^2 + 8,930,220/(1+9.85%)^3 + 9,555,335/(1+9.85%)^4 + 144,515,259/(1+9.85%)^5 = $117,662,965 [terminal value will include the Year 5 cash flow, therefore it will not be separately included in the cash flow for Year 5]
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Step 3: Calculate New Estimate of Maximum Share Price
The new estimate of maximum offer price is calculated as below:
New Estimate of Maximum Share Price = (Revised Value of the Firm Today (Joe) - Market Value of Debt (Joe))/Number of Shares Outstanding = (117,662,965 - 28,000,000)/1,950,000 = $45.98 (answer for Part b)
The new estimate of the maximum share price for the purchase would be $45.98.