In: Statistics and Probability
Q2. Consider a game of tennis from deuce onward. Starting at the state of deuce, if the server wins, the score is ad-in. If the server then loses the next point, the game is back to deuce. However, if the server wins two points in a row, he wins the game. Similarly, starting at the state of deuce, if the returner wins, the score is ad-out. If the returner then loses the next point, the game is back to deuce. But if the returner wins two points in a row, he wins the game.
Let the probability of winning the point be 0.4. Moreover, the winner gets $10, and the loser pays $10.
What is the value of the game at the state of deuce?
Answer:
Given that:
Consider a game of tennis from deuce onward. Starting at the state of deuce, if the server wins, the score is ad-in. If the server then loses the next point, the game is back to deuce
Let the probability of winning the point be 0.4. Moreover, the winner gets $10, and the loser pays $10.
Is this game recursive?
Yes, this game is recursive because in a state of non zero payoff , play immediately moves to an absorbing state where each player has only one action available which actions give a particular non zero payoff in further stage .
Draw and properly label the game tree. If there is a state that recurs, do not go beyond that state.
What is the probability of winning the game in the state of deuce?
The probability of winning the game at deuce is 0.2
What is the probability of winning the game for the server given that he wins the first point after deuce?
The probability of winning the game after one point is =0.2*0.2
The probability of winning the game after one point is = 0.04
What is the value of the game at the state of deuce?
The value of game at deuce is equal payoff of 0 as both the players have 0 points at the starting of the game