In: Statistics and Probability
There are n boxes, the 1st one containing 1 glass, the 2nd box containing 2 glasses, the 3rd box containing 3 glasses, . . . , kth box containing k glasses, . . . nth box containing n glasses. In each box every glass is broken with probability 1/2 independently of all other glasses. A contestant chooses a box uniformly at random. Given that he found no broken glasses in this box, find the probability that he choose the 1st box. Simplify your answer.
Given Information:
Defining the events:
X: A contestant found no broken glass in the box.
A: Contestant has chosen Box 1.
B: Contestant has chosen Box 2.
K: Contestant has chosen Box k.
N: Contestant has chosen Box n.