In: Statistics and Probability
A poll reported that only 593 out of a total of 1594 adults in a particular region said they had a "great deal of confidence" or "quite a lot of confidence" in the public school system. This was down 5 percentage points from the previous year. Assume the conditions for using the CLT are met. Complete parts (a) through (d) below.
a. Find a 95% confidence interval for the proportion that express a great deal of confidence or quite a lot of confidence in the public schools, and interpret this interval.
The 95% confidence interval for the proportion that express a great deal of confidence or quite a lot of confidence in the public schools is ?
(Round to three decimal places as needed.)
Solution :
Given that,
n = 1594
x = 593
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 593 / 1594 = 0.372
1 - = 1 - 0.372 = 0.628
At 95% confidence level
= 1 - 95%
=1 - 0.95 =0.05
/2
= 0.025
Z/2
= Z0.025 = 1.960
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.96 (((0.372 * 0.628) / 1594)
= 0.024
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
± E
= 0.372 ± 0.024
= ( 0.348, 0.396 )
The 95% confidence interval for the proportion that express a great deal of confidence or quite a lot of confidence in the public schools is between 0.348 and 0.396.