In: Statistics and Probability
Historical data suggest the probability of an earthquake greater than magnitude 3 in Colorado occurring in any given year is 5%.
a. What is the likelihood of having two earthquakes in Colorado greater than magnitude 3 in the coming decade?
b. What is the likelihood of having no earthquakes in Colorado greater than magnitude 3 in the coming decade?
c. What are some factors which might make this statistical approach inaccurate?