Question

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The YTM on a bond is the interest rate you earn on your investment if interest...

The YTM on a bond is the interest rate you earn on your investment if interest rates don’t change. If you actually sell the bond before it matures, your realized return is known as the holding period yield (HPY).

a.

Suppose that today you buy an annual coupon bond with a coupon rate of 8.3 percent for $835. The bond has 9 years to maturity and a par value of $1,000. What rate of return do you expect to earn on your investment? (Do not round intermediate calculations and enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.)

b-1. Two years from now, the YTM on your bond has declined by 1 percent, and you decide to sell. What price will your bond sell for? (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.)
b-2. What is the HPY on your investment? (Do not round intermediate calculations and enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.)

Solutions

Expert Solution

Part a)

Approximate YTM = {Interest+(Maturity value-Current price)/n}/{(Maturity value+Current price)/2}

where, interest = par value*coupon rate = $1,000*8.3% = $83; Current price = $835; Maturity value = par value = $1,000; n = 9years

Approximate YTM = {83+(1000-835)/9}/{(1000+835)/2} = {83+(165/9)}/{1835/2} = (83+18.33)/917.5 = 101.33/917.5 = 11.04%

Computation of YTM based on discounted cashflow method:

Year Type Cashflow PVF @ 11% Discounted cashflow (Cashflow * PVF@11%) PVF @ 11.5% Discounted cashflow (Cashflow * [email protected]%)
1 Coupon 83 1/(1+discount rate) = 1/(1.11) = 0.9009         74.77 1/(1+discount rate) = 1/(1.115) = 0.8969         74.44
2 Coupon 83 1/[(1+discount rate)^2] = 1/[(1.11)^2] = 0.8116         67.36 1/[(1+discount rate)^2] = 1/[(1.115)^2] = 0.8044         66.77
3 Coupon 83 1/[(1+discount rate)^3] = 1/[(1.11)^3] = 0.7312         60.69 1/[(1+discount rate)^3] = 1/[(1.115)^3] = 0.7214         59.88
4 Coupon 83 1/[(1+discount rate)^4] = 1/[(1.11)^4] = 0.6587         54.67 1/[(1+discount rate)^4] = 1/[(1.115)^4] = 0.647         53.70
5 Coupon 83 1/[(1+discount rate)^5] = 1/[(1.11)^5] = 0.5934         49.25 1/[(1+discount rate)^5] = 1/[(1.115)^5] = 0.5803         48.16
6 Coupon 83 1/[(1+discount rate)^6] = 1/[(1.11)^6] = 0.5346         44.37 1/[(1+discount rate)^6] = 1/[(1.115)^6] = 0.5204         43.19
7 Coupon 83 1/[(1+discount rate)^7] = 1/[(1.11)^7] = 0.4816         39.97 1/[(1+discount rate)^7] = 1/[(1.115)^7] = 0.4667         38.74
8 Coupon 83 1/[(1+discount rate)^8] = 1/[(1.11)^8] = 0.4339         36.01 1/[(1+discount rate)^8] = 1/[(1.115)^8] = 0.4186         34.74
9 Coupon 83 1/[(1+discount rate)^9] = 1/[(1.11)^9] = 0.3909         32.44 1/[(1+discount rate)^9] = 1/[(1.115)^9] = 0.3754         31.16
9 Maturity value 1000 1/[(1+discount rate)^9] = 1/[(1.11)^9] = 0.3909      390.90 1/[(1+discount rate)^9] = 1/[(1.115)^9] = 0.3754      375.40
     850.45      826.18

YTM = Base rate +  (Discounted cashflow @ 11%-Current price)*(difference in discount rate)/(Discounted cashflow @ 11%-Discounted cashflow @ 11.5%)

= 11% + (850.45-835)*0.5%/(850.45-826.18)

= 11% + 15.45*0.5%/24.27

= 11% + 0.32% = 11.32%

Part b-1)

Current YTM = YTM (refer part a) - 1% = 11.32%-1% = 10.32%

Year Type Cashflow PVF @ 10.32% Discounted cashflow (Cashflow*[email protected]%)
3 Coupon 83 1/(1+discount rate) = 1/(1.1032) = 0.9065         75.24
4 Coupon 83 1/[(1+discount rate)^2] = 1/[(1.1032)^2] = 0.8217         68.20
5 Coupon 83 1/[(1+discount rate)^3] = 1/[(1.1032)^3] = 0.7448         61.82
6 Coupon 83 1/[(1+discount rate)^4] = 1/[(1.1032)^4] = 0.6751         56.03
7 Coupon 83 1/[(1+discount rate)^5] = 1/[(1.1032)^5] = 0.6119         50.79
8 Coupon 83 1/[(1+discount rate)^6] = 1/[(1.1032)^6] = 0.5547         46.04
9 Coupon 83 1/[(1+discount rate)^7] = 1/[(1.1032)^7] = 0.5028         41.73
9 Maturity value 1000 1/[(1+discount rate)^7] = 1/[(1.1032)^7] = 0.5028      502.80
Selling price at the end of year 2      902.65

The purchaser wants 10.32% yield hence they will buy at $902.65 per bond

Part b-2)

Approximate HPY = (Sale value-purchase price+interest received for 2 years)/(purchase price*holding period) = ($902.65-$835+$166)/)($835*2) = 233.65/1670 = 13.99%

Computation of HPY based on discounted cashflow:

Year Type Cashflow PVF @ 14% Discounted cashflow (Cashflow *PVF@14%) PVF @ 13.5% Discounted cashflow (Cashflow *[email protected]%)
1 Coupon 83 1/(1+discount rate) = 1/(1.14) = 0.8772         72.81 1/(1+discount rate) = 1/(1.135) = 0.8811         73.13
2 Coupon 83 1/(1+discount rate) = 1/[(1.14)^2] = 0.7695         63.87 1/(1+discount rate) = 1/[(1.135)^2] = 0.7763         64.43
2 Sale value 902.65 1/(1+discount rate) = 1/[(1.14)^2] = 0.7695      694.59 1/(1+discount rate) = 1/[(1.135)^2] = 0.7763      700.73
     831.27      838.29

HPY = Base rate +  (Discounted cashflow @ 13.5%-purchase price)*(difference in discount rate)/(Discounted cashflow @ 13.5%-Discounted cashflow @ 14%)

= 13.5% + (838.29-835)*0.5%/(838.29-831.27)

= 13.5% + 3.29*0.5%/7.02

= 13.5% + 0.23% = 13.73%


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