In: Finance
The YTM on a bond is the interest rate you earn on your investment if interest rates don’t change. If you actually sell the bond before it matures, your realized return is known as the holding period yield (HPY). |
a. |
Suppose that today you buy an annual coupon bond with a coupon rate of 8.3 percent for $835. The bond has 9 years to maturity and a par value of $1,000. What rate of return do you expect to earn on your investment? (Do not round intermediate calculations and enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) |
b-1. | Two years from now, the YTM on your bond has declined by 1 percent, and you decide to sell. What price will your bond sell for? (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) |
b-2. | What is the HPY on your investment? (Do not round intermediate calculations and enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) |
Part a)
Approximate YTM = {Interest+(Maturity value-Current price)/n}/{(Maturity value+Current price)/2}
where, interest = par value*coupon rate = $1,000*8.3% = $83; Current price = $835; Maturity value = par value = $1,000; n = 9years
Approximate YTM = {83+(1000-835)/9}/{(1000+835)/2} = {83+(165/9)}/{1835/2} = (83+18.33)/917.5 = 101.33/917.5 = 11.04%
Computation of YTM based on discounted cashflow method:
Year | Type | Cashflow | PVF @ 11% | Discounted cashflow (Cashflow * PVF@11%) | PVF @ 11.5% | Discounted cashflow (Cashflow * [email protected]%) |
1 | Coupon | 83 | 1/(1+discount rate) = 1/(1.11) = 0.9009 | 74.77 | 1/(1+discount rate) = 1/(1.115) = 0.8969 | 74.44 |
2 | Coupon | 83 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^2] = 1/[(1.11)^2] = 0.8116 | 67.36 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^2] = 1/[(1.115)^2] = 0.8044 | 66.77 |
3 | Coupon | 83 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^3] = 1/[(1.11)^3] = 0.7312 | 60.69 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^3] = 1/[(1.115)^3] = 0.7214 | 59.88 |
4 | Coupon | 83 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^4] = 1/[(1.11)^4] = 0.6587 | 54.67 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^4] = 1/[(1.115)^4] = 0.647 | 53.70 |
5 | Coupon | 83 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^5] = 1/[(1.11)^5] = 0.5934 | 49.25 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^5] = 1/[(1.115)^5] = 0.5803 | 48.16 |
6 | Coupon | 83 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^6] = 1/[(1.11)^6] = 0.5346 | 44.37 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^6] = 1/[(1.115)^6] = 0.5204 | 43.19 |
7 | Coupon | 83 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^7] = 1/[(1.11)^7] = 0.4816 | 39.97 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^7] = 1/[(1.115)^7] = 0.4667 | 38.74 |
8 | Coupon | 83 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^8] = 1/[(1.11)^8] = 0.4339 | 36.01 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^8] = 1/[(1.115)^8] = 0.4186 | 34.74 |
9 | Coupon | 83 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^9] = 1/[(1.11)^9] = 0.3909 | 32.44 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^9] = 1/[(1.115)^9] = 0.3754 | 31.16 |
9 | Maturity value | 1000 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^9] = 1/[(1.11)^9] = 0.3909 | 390.90 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^9] = 1/[(1.115)^9] = 0.3754 | 375.40 |
850.45 | 826.18 |
YTM = Base rate + (Discounted cashflow @ 11%-Current price)*(difference in discount rate)/(Discounted cashflow @ 11%-Discounted cashflow @ 11.5%)
= 11% + (850.45-835)*0.5%/(850.45-826.18)
= 11% + 15.45*0.5%/24.27
= 11% + 0.32% = 11.32%
Part b-1)
Current YTM = YTM (refer part a) - 1% = 11.32%-1% = 10.32%
Year | Type | Cashflow | PVF @ 10.32% | Discounted cashflow (Cashflow*[email protected]%) |
3 | Coupon | 83 | 1/(1+discount rate) = 1/(1.1032) = 0.9065 | 75.24 |
4 | Coupon | 83 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^2] = 1/[(1.1032)^2] = 0.8217 | 68.20 |
5 | Coupon | 83 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^3] = 1/[(1.1032)^3] = 0.7448 | 61.82 |
6 | Coupon | 83 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^4] = 1/[(1.1032)^4] = 0.6751 | 56.03 |
7 | Coupon | 83 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^5] = 1/[(1.1032)^5] = 0.6119 | 50.79 |
8 | Coupon | 83 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^6] = 1/[(1.1032)^6] = 0.5547 | 46.04 |
9 | Coupon | 83 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^7] = 1/[(1.1032)^7] = 0.5028 | 41.73 |
9 | Maturity value | 1000 | 1/[(1+discount rate)^7] = 1/[(1.1032)^7] = 0.5028 | 502.80 |
Selling price at the end of year 2 | 902.65 |
The purchaser wants 10.32% yield hence they will buy at $902.65 per bond
Part b-2)
Approximate HPY = (Sale value-purchase price+interest received for 2 years)/(purchase price*holding period) = ($902.65-$835+$166)/)($835*2) = 233.65/1670 = 13.99%
Computation of HPY based on discounted cashflow:
Year | Type | Cashflow | PVF @ 14% | Discounted cashflow (Cashflow *PVF@14%) | PVF @ 13.5% | Discounted cashflow (Cashflow *[email protected]%) |
1 | Coupon | 83 | 1/(1+discount rate) = 1/(1.14) = 0.8772 | 72.81 | 1/(1+discount rate) = 1/(1.135) = 0.8811 | 73.13 |
2 | Coupon | 83 | 1/(1+discount rate) = 1/[(1.14)^2] = 0.7695 | 63.87 | 1/(1+discount rate) = 1/[(1.135)^2] = 0.7763 | 64.43 |
2 | Sale value | 902.65 | 1/(1+discount rate) = 1/[(1.14)^2] = 0.7695 | 694.59 | 1/(1+discount rate) = 1/[(1.135)^2] = 0.7763 | 700.73 |
831.27 | 838.29 |
HPY = Base rate + (Discounted cashflow @ 13.5%-purchase price)*(difference in discount rate)/(Discounted cashflow @ 13.5%-Discounted cashflow @ 14%)
= 13.5% + (838.29-835)*0.5%/(838.29-831.27)
= 13.5% + 3.29*0.5%/7.02
= 13.5% + 0.23% = 13.73%