In: Statistics and Probability
| Period | Receipts |
| 1 | 30172000 |
| 2 | 16916000 |
| 3 | 11794000 |
| 4 | 7862000 |
| 5 | 6354000 |
| 6 | 5222000 |
| 7 | 4106000 |
| 8 | 3368000 |
| 9 | 2302000 |
| 10 | 2440000 |
| 11 | 2472000 |
| 12 | 2766000 |
| 13 | 2856000 |
| 14 | 2300000 |
| 15 | 1704000 |
| 16 | 1776000 |
| 17 | 1362000 |
| 18 | 1158000 |
| 19 | 1124000 |
Use the formula for the "best" trend model to forecast the time
series (Receipts) for x = t = 20.
Round the forecast to the nearest whole number.