In: Statistics and Probability
During this year’s COVID-19 outbreak the stock prices for the airline companies went down by huge margins. A day trader wants to invest in Airline stock and wants to learn how much interest is there in United Airlines. He wants to collect a random sample of investors.
The day trader wants to estimate the actual proportion of investors who would buy shares in United Airlines.
To calculate the required sample size, what value of p*p* should we use in the formula below to calculate a 90% confidence interval within 2.54 percentage points? Give exact answer as a decimal.
Solution,
Given that,
= 1 - = 0.5 ( no prior estimate )
margin of error = E = 0.0254
At 90% confidence level
= 1 - 90%
= 1 - 0.90 =0.10
/2
= 0.05
Z/2
= Z0.05 = 1.645
sample size = n = (Z / 2 / E )2 * * (1 - )
= (1.645 / 0.0254)2 * 0.5 * 0.5
= 1048.58
sample size = n = 1049