In: Statistics and Probability
For 300 trading days, the daily closing price of a stock (in $) is well modeled by a Normal model with mean
$197.38 and standard deviation
$7.16
According to this model, what cutoff value of price would separate the
a) lowest
13%
of the days?
b) highest
0.62%?
c) middle
79%?
d) highest
50%?
Select the correct answer below and fill in the answer box(es) within your choice.
A.The cutoff points are
nothing
and
nothing.
(Use ascending order. Round to two decimal places as needed.)
B.The cutoff point is
nothing.
(Round to two decimal places as needed.)
We are given the distribution here as:
a) From standard normal tables, we have:
P( Z < -1.126) = 0.13
Therefore, the cutoff value here is computed as:
= Mean -1.126*Std Dev
= 197.38 -1.126*7.16
= 189.31784
Therefore 189.32 days is the required value here.
b) From standard normal tables, we have here:
P(Z < 2.501) = 0.9938,
Therefore, P(Z > 2.501) = 1 - 0.9938 = 0.0062
Therefore the cutoff value here is computed as:
= 197.38 + 2.501*7.16
= 215.29
Therefore 215.29 days is the required cutoff value here.
c) For middle 79%, we have:
P(-c < Z < c ) = 0.79
Therefore, P(Z < c) = 0.79 + (1 -0.79)/2 = 0.895
From standard normal tables, we have here:
P(Z < 1.254) = 0.895
Therefore the cut off values here are computed as:
Mean - 1.254*Std Dev , Mean + 1.254 * Std Dev
197.38 - 1.254*7.16, 197.38 + 1.254*7.16
197.38 - 8.98, 197.38 + 8.98
188.40, 206.36
These are the required values here.
d) Note that the normal distribution is symmetric about its
mean, therefore:
P(X > Mean) = P(X < Mean) = 0.5
Therefore the cutoff value here is 197.38 days.