In: Statistics and Probability
A company keeps extensive records on its new salespeople on the premise that sales should be linearly related to experience. A random sample of four new salespeople produced the data on experience and sales shown in the table.
|
Months on Job |
Monthly Sales ($1000) |
|
2 |
3 |
|
5 |
4 |
|
3 |
4 |
|
8 |
6 |
Preliminary calculations are given below.
|
x |
y |
x2 |
y2 |
xy |
|
|
2 |
3 |
4 |
9 |
6 |
|
|
5 |
4 |
25 |
16 |
20 |
|
|
3 |
4 |
9 |
16 |
12 |
|
|
8 |
6 |
64 |
36 |
48 |
|
|
Total |
18 |
17 |
102 |
77 |
86 |
Part A: Find the least square line predicting monthly sales by months on job.
|
a. y with hat on top = 0.457+0.843x |
|
|
b. y with hat on top = 2.216+0.453x |
|
|
c. y with hat on top = 3.692+0.124x |
|
|
d. y with hat on top = -9.570+64.5x |
Part B: Find s, the estimated standard deviation of random error
|
a. 0.228 |
|
|
b. 0.477 |
|
c. 0.456 |
|
|
d. 4.750 |
Part C: Test if monthly sales is linearly related to months on job at 0.05 level of significance. State hypotheses.
|
a. H0: beta0 = 0; Ha: beta0 not = 0 |
|
|
b. H0: beta1 = 0; Ha: beta1 > 0 |
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c. H0: beta0 = 0; Ha: beta0 > 0 |
|
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d. H0: beta1 = 0; Ha: beta1 not = 0 |
Part D: Test if monthly sales is linearly related to months on job at 0.05 level of significance. Find the value of test statistic.
|
a. 0.452 |
|
|
b. 0.477 |
|
c. 4.342 |
|
|
d. 4.750 |
Part E: Test if monthly sales is linearly related to months on job at 0.05 level of significance. Find the rejection region.
|
a. t<-3.182 and t>3.182 |
|
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b. t>2.920 |
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c. t<-4.303 and t>4.303 |
|
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d. t>2.353 |
Part F: Test if monthly sales is linearly related to months on job at 0.05 level of significance. What is your conclusion at 0.05 level of significance?
|
a. Reject H0. Sufficient evidence that monthly sales is not linearly related to months on job. |
|
|
b. Do not reject H0. Insufficient evidence that monthly sales is linearly related to months on job. |
|
c. Do not reject H0. Insufficient evidence that monthly sales is not linearly related to months on job. |
|
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d. Reject H0. Sufficient evidence that monthly sales is linearly related to months on job. |
Part G: Find a 95% confidence interval of the slope.
|
a. (0.207, 0.697) |
|
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b. (0.004, 0.900) |
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c. (0.148, 0.756) |
|
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d. (0.121, 0.783) |
Part H: Interpret the confidence interval of the slope. With 95% confidence, …
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a. Experience on job is expected to increase by at least the lower limit and at most the upper limit for each $1000 increase in monthly sales, valid for $3000 to $6000 monthly sales. |
|
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b. Monthly sales are expected to increase by at least the lower limit and at most the upper limit for each additional month experience on job, valid for 2-8 months experience on job. |
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c. Monthly sales are expected to decrease by at least the lower limit and at most the upper limit for each additional month experience on job, valid for 2-8 months experience on job. |
|
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d. Experience on job is expected to decrease by at least the lower limit and at most the upper limit for each $1000 increase in monthly sales, valid for $3000 to $6000 monthly sales. |
Part I: Find the value of coefficient of correlation.
|
a. 0.951 |
|
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b. -0.049 |
|
c. -0.951 |
|
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d. 0.049 |
Part J: What kind of correlation does the coefficient imply?
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a. A strong positive correlation between monthly sales and experience on job. |
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b. A weak positive correlation between monthly sales and experience on job. |
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c. A weak negative correlation between monthly sales and experience on job. |
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d. A strong negative correlation between monthly sales and experience on job. |
Part K: Find the value of coefficient of determination.
|
a. 0.998 |
|
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b. 0.002 |
|
c. 0.096 |
|
|
d. 0.904 |
Part L: Interpret the coefficient of determination.
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a. It’s the proportion of sample variation in months on job that cannot be explained by using months on job to predicting monthly sales in a linear model. |
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b. It’s the proportion of sample variation in monthly sales that can be explained by using months on job to predicting monthly sales in a linear model. |
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c. It’s the proportion of sample variation in months on job that can be explained by using months on job to predicting monthly sales in a linear model. |
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d. It’s the proportion of sample variation in monthly sales that cannot be explained by using months on job to predicting monthly sales in a linear model. |