In: Finance
The new machine is estimated to cost Shs.8,000,000 and Sh400,000 would be incurred in installing the machine. The new machine is estimated to have a useful life of 10 years. An expert in asset valuation estimates that the existing machine can be sold at Shs. 2,500,000 in the open market. The new machine is expected to lead to increased sales. To support the increased sales, debtors would increase by Shs. 320,000, stock by Shs.140,000 and creditors by Shs. 300,000.
The estimated profit before depreciation and tax over the next 10 years for the two machines is as given below:
Year |
New Machine Shs. |
Old Machine Shs |
1 |
350,000 |
280,000 |
2 |
400,000 |
300,000 |
3 |
420,000 |
320,000 |
4 |
410,000 |
340,000 |
5 |
410,000 |
340,000 |
6 |
380,000 |
320,000 |
7 |
380,000 |
310,000 |
8 |
350,000 |
280,000 |
9 |
300,000 |
260,000 |
10 |
280,000 |
240,000 |
The company’s cost of capital is 10%. Corporation tax applicable is 30%. The company uses the straight line method of depreciation.
Required
Q i) Initial investment = Cost of new machine + installation cost + working capital - after tax sale price of old machine
= 8,000,000 + 400,000 + (320,000 + 140,000 - 300,000) - 2,500,000 (1-0.30)
= 8,400,000 + 160,000 - 2,500,000 (0.70)
= 8,560,000 - 1,750,000
= 6,810,000
Q ii) Cash flow of new machine and npv
Years | EBITDA | (-)Depreciation | EBT | (+)Tax savings | Net Profit | (+)Depreciation | Cashflow |
1 | 350,000 | (840,000) | (490,000) | 147,000 | (343,000) | 840,000 | 497,000 |
2 | 400,000 | (840,000) | (440,000) | 132,000 | (308,000) | 840,000 | 532,000 |
3 | 420,000 | (840,000) | (420,000) | 126,000 | (294,000) | 840,000 | 546,000 |
4 | 410,000 | (840,000) | (430,000) | 129,000 | (301,000) | 840,000 | 539,000 |
5 | 410,000 | (840,000) | (430,000) | 129,000 | (301,000) | 840,000 | 539,000 |
6 | 380,000 | (840,000) | (460,000) | 138,000 | (322,000) | 840,000 | 518,000 |
7 | 380,000 | (840,000) | (460,000) | 138,000 | (322,000) | 840,000 | 518,000 |
8 | 350,000 | (840,000) | (490,000) | 147,000 | (343,000) | 840,000 | 497,000 |
9 | 300,000 | (840,000) | (540,000) | 162,000 | (378,000) | 840,000 | 462,000 |
10 | 280,000 | (840,000) | (560,000) | 168,000 | (392,000) | 840,000 | 448,000 |
Working notes:-
Depreciation= 8,400,000 / 10 = 840,000
Using financial calculator to calculate NPV
Inputs: C0= -6,810,000
C1= 497,000 frequency=1
C2= 532,000. frequency= 1
C3= 546,000. Frequency= 1
C4= 539,000. Frequency= 2
C5= 518,000. Frequency= 2
C6= 497,000. Frequency= 1
C7= 462,000. Frequency= 1
C8= 448,000. Frequency= 1
I= 10%
Npv= compute
We get, Npv of the new machine as -3,646,749.61
Cash flow of old machine and Npv
Years | EBITDA | (-)Depreciation | EBT | (+)Tax Savings | Net profit | (+)Depreciation | Cashflow |
1 | 280,000 | (350,000) | (70,000) | 21,000 | (49,000) | 350,000 | 301,000 |
2 | 300,000 | (350,000) | (50,000) | 15,000 | (35,000) | 350,000 | 315,000 |
3 | 320,000 | (350,000) | (30,000) | 9,000 | (21,000) | 350,000 | 329,000 |
4 | 340,000 | (350,000) | (10,000) | 3,000 | (7,000) | 350,000 | 347,000 |
5 | 340,000 | (350,000) | (10,000) | 3,000 | (7,000) | 350,000 | 347,000 |
6 | 320,000 | (350,000) | (30,000) | 9,000 | (21,000) | 350,000 | 329,000 |
7 | 310,000 | (350,000) | (40,000) | 12,000 | (28,000) | 350,000 | 322,000 |
8 | 280,000 | (350,000) | (70,000) | 21,000 | (49,000) | 350,000 | 301,000 |
9 | 260,000 | (350,000) | (90,000) | 27,000 | (63,000) | 350,000 | 287,000 |
10 | 240,000 | (350,000) | (110,000) | 33,000 | (77,000) | 350,000 | 273,000 |
Working note:-
Depreciation= 4,000,000 - 500,000 / 10
= 3,500,000 / 10
= 350,000
Using financial calculator to calculate the Npv
Inputs: C0= -4,000,000
C1= 301,000. Frequency= 1
C2= 315,000. Frequency= 1
C3= 329,000. Frequency= 1
C4= 347,000. Frequency= 2
C5= 329,000. Frequency= 1
C6= 322,000. Frequency= 1
C7= 301,000. Frequency= 1
C8= 287,000. Frequency= 1
C9= 273,000. Frequency= 1
I= 10%
Npv= compute
We get, Npv of old machine as -2,048,048.23
As the Npv of the new machine is more negative than old machine , we shiuld not replace it.