In: Statistics and Probability
In soccer, serious fouls result in a penalty kick with one kicker and one defending goalkeeper. The accompanying table summarizes results from 295 kicks during games among top teams. In the table, jump direction indicates which way the goalkeeper jumped, where the kick direction is from the perspective of the goalkeeper. Use a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that the direction of the kick is independent of the direction of the goalkeeper jump. Do the results support the theory that because the kicks are so fast, goalkeepers have no time to react, so the directions of their jumps are independent of the directions of the kicks?
left | center | right | ||
Kick to left | 51 | 5 | 44 | |
Kick to center | 41 | 12 | 32 | |
kick to right | 45 | 6 | 59 | |
A. Determine the test statistic. x2
B. Use the chi-square test statistic to determine the P-value
C. Use the information from the previous steps to determine whether to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis and interpret the results in the context of this problem
Solution:
Here, we have to use chi square test for independence of two categorical variables.
Null hypothesis: H0: Two categorical variables are independent. (The direction of the kick is independent of the direction of the goalkeeper jump.)
Alternative hypothesis: Ha: Two categorical variables are dependent. (The direction of the kick is not independent of the direction of the goalkeeper jump.)
We are given level of significance = α = 0.01
A. Determine the test statistic. x2
Test statistic formula is given as below:
Chi square = ∑[(O – E)^2/E]
Where, O is observed frequencies and E is expected frequencies.
E = row total * column total / Grand total
We are given
Number of rows = r = 3
Number of columns = c = 3
Degrees of freedom = df = (r – 1)*(c – 1) = 2*2 = 4
α = 0.01
Critical value = 13.2767
(by using Chi square table or excel)
Calculation tables for test statistic are given as below:
Observed Frequencies |
||||
Column variable |
||||
Row variable |
Left |
Center |
right |
Total |
Kick to left |
51 |
5 |
44 |
100 |
Kick to center |
41 |
12 |
32 |
85 |
Kick to right |
45 |
6 |
59 |
110 |
Total |
137 |
23 |
135 |
295 |
Expected Frequencies |
||||
Column variable |
||||
Row variable |
Left |
Center |
right |
Total |
Kick to left |
46.44068 |
7.79661 |
45.76271 |
100 |
Kick to center |
39.47458 |
6.627119 |
38.89831 |
85 |
Kick to right |
51.08475 |
8.576271 |
50.33898 |
110 |
Total |
137 |
23 |
135 |
295 |
Calculations |
||
(O - E) |
||
4.559322 |
-2.79661 |
-1.76271 |
1.525424 |
5.372881 |
-6.89831 |
-6.08475 |
-2.57627 |
8.661017 |
(O - E)^2/E |
||
0.447612 |
1.003132 |
0.067897 |
0.058947 |
4.356019 |
1.22336 |
0.724759 |
0.7739 |
1.490162 |
Test Statistic = Chi square = ∑[(O – E)^2/E] = 10.14579
χ2 statistic = 10.14579
B. Use the chi-square test statistic to determine the P-value
P-value = 0.038042
(By using Chi square table or excel)
C. Use the information from the previous steps to determine whether to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis and interpret the results in the context of this problem
P-value > α = 0.01
So, we do not reject the null hypothesis H0.
Fail to reject the null hypothesis H0.
There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the direction of the kick is independent of the direction of the goalkeeper jump.