In: Statistics and Probability
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Mars Inc., makers of M&M’s candies, claims that they produce plain M&M’s with the following distribution:Brown: 30%Red: 20%Yellow: 20%Orange: 10%Green:10%Blue: 10%A bag of plain M&M’s was selected randomly from the grocery store shelf, and the color counts were as follows:Brown: 16Red:11Yellow: 19Orange: 5Green:7Blue: 3(a)You want to conduct an appropriate test of the manufacturer’s claim for the proportion of yellow M&M’s. Identify the population and parameter of interest. Then state hypotheses.(3 pts).(b)Calculate the sample proportion of yellow M&M’s in the sample bag.Round to the nearestthousandth.(2 pts).
(c)Checkthe conditions for performing the significance test.(3 pts)(c) Calculate the test statistic and the P-value using your calculator.(2 pts)(d) What conclusion can you make about the true proportion of plain yellow M&M’s? Explain.(3 pts)(e)Based on this sample, construct and interpret a 90% confidence interval for the proportion of yellow M&M’s candies produced by Mars.Use your calculator to calculate the interval.(3 pts)
(a)You want to conduct an appropriate test of the manufacturer’s claim for the proportion of yellow M&M’s. Identify the population and parameter of interest. Then state hypotheses.(3 pts).
The population is all the M&M’s candies and the parameter of interest is yellow M&M’s.
The hypothesis being tested is:
H0: p = 0.20
Ha: p ≠ 0.20
(b)Calculate the sample proportion of yellow M&M’s in the sample bag.Round to the nearestthousandth.(2 pts).
The sample proportion of yellow M&M’s = 19/(16 + 11 + 19 + 5 + 7 + 3) = 0.311
(c)Checkthe conditions for performing the significance test.(3 pts)
n*p = 61*0.311 = 19 10
n*(1 - p) = 61*(1 - 0.311) = 42 10
The conditions are met.
(c) Calculate the test statistic and the P-value using your calculator.(2 pts)
The test statistic, z = (p̂ - p)/√p(1-p)/n
z = (0.311 - 0.20)/√0.20(1-0.20)/0.20 = 2.18
The p-value is 0.0295.
(d) What conclusion can you make about the true proportion of plain yellow M&M’s? Explain.(3 pts)
Since the p-value (0.0295) is less than the significance level (0.05), we can reject the null hypothesis.
Therefore, we can conclude that p ≠ 0.20.
(e)Based on this sample, construct and interpret a 90% confidence interval for the proportion of yellow M&M’s candies produced by Mars.Use your calculator to calculate the interval.(3 pts)
The 90% confidence interval will be:
= p ± z*(√p(1-p)/n)
= 0.311 ± 1.645*(√0.311(1-0.311)/61)
= (0.2139, 0.409)
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