In: Finance
Mr. Mwila, a research analyst, has been hired to value Le AVIC
Ltd., a company that is currently experiencing rapid growth and
expansion. Mwila is an expert in the construction industry and has
had extensive experience in valuing similar firms. He is convinced
that a value for the equity of Le AVIC Ltd. can be reliably
obtained through the use of a three-stage free cash flow to equity
(FCFE) model with declining growth in the second stage. Based on
up-to-date financial statements, he has determined that the current
FCFE per share is K2. He has prepared a forecast of expected growth
rates in FCFE as follows: Stage 1: 9% for years 1 through 3 Stage
2: 6.0% in year 4, 4.5% in year 5, 4.0% in year 6 Stage 3: 3.0% in
year 7 and thereafter Moreover, Mwila has determined that the
company has a beta of 1.4. The current risk-free rate is 4.0%, and
the equity risk premium is 7.0%. Other financial information:
Outstanding shares: 200 kwacha shares. Tax rate: 35.0% Interest
expense: K30 000.00.
Create a spreadsheet to calculate the following:
i. the required rate of return
ii. the terminal value in year 6
iii. The per share value Mwila assigned to Le AVIC ltd
iv. The free cash flow to firm (FCFF)
1. Required rate of return: As per the given information in the question the required return to be calculated using the Capital Asset Pricing Model(CAPM) whose formula is Rf+(Rm-Rf)Beta, Hint= Rm-Rf is a Rish premium.
So all information given in the question 4+(7)x1.4 = 4+9.8 = 13.8%
2. Terminal Value in Year 6 : We need to use Gordan growth formula to calculte here terminal value.
Gorgan growth formula =
P0 is Price today, D1 is Dividend at the end of year 1, Ke= Required rate of return, G= Growth
And we can Use FCFE(Free Cash flow to equity) here as Dividend because both represent the reidual part of profit after deducting all costs.
Question ask terminal value at te end of Year 6 so Rewriting the above formula as per question is
FCFE need here to calculate using growth rates given in question, compound the FCFE with rates.
Terminal Value at T6= 23.98
3) Per Value Share
Now calculate value of share by calculating the present Value of all future cash flows using Ke as required rate of return.
Calculation in Spreadsheet looks as:
Year | FCFE | PV Factor @ 13.8% | Present Value |
1 | 2.0600 | 0.8787 | 1.8102 |
2 | 2.1218 | 0.7722 | 1.6384 |
3 | 2.1855 | 0.6785 | 1.4829 |
4 | 2.3166 | 0.5963 | 1.3813 |
5 | 2.4208 | 0.5239 | 1.2684 |
6 | 2.5177 | 0.4604 | 1.1592 |
6 | 23.9800 | 0.4604 | 11.0407 |
Total | 19.7810 |
So Value per share is 19.78.
4) Free Cash Flow to firm
Just look at the Finance sheet for calulation:
Earning Before Interest and Taxes ( EBIT) | xxx |
Less: Interest | xxx |
Earning before taxes | xxx |
Less:Taxes | xxx |
Earning avaible for Equity i.e. FCFE | xxx |
We need to reverse calculate to reach EBIT which would be as Free Cash flow to Firm FCFF.
FCFE = 19.78 x 200( oustanding share) = 3956
Tax adjustment @ 35% , So 3956/(1-.35) , 3956/.65, = 6086.15 is earnings before taxes
Now add back the interest cost as given in question 30,000
So FCFF would be 6086.15+30000 = 36086.15.