In: Statistics and Probability
In a survey of 1407 people, 1077 people said they voted in a recent presidential election. Voting records show that 74% of eligible voters actually did vote. Given that 74% of eligible voters actually did vote, (a) find the probability that among 1407 randomly selected voters, at least 1077 actually did vote. (b) What do the results from part (a) suggest?
Answer:
Given that:
In a survey of 1407 people, 1077 people said they voted in a recent presidential election. Voting records show that 74% of eligible voters actually did vote. Given that 74% of eligible voters actually did vote
a) find the probability that among 1407 randomly selected voters, at least 1077 actually did vote.
Binomial can be approximated to normal with
Normal distribution
b) What do the results from part (a) suggest?
Since this probability is so small,it suggest that this sample might be biased or survey suffered with self assesment bias