In: Statistics and Probability
A study claims that girls and boys do not do equally well on
math tests taken from the 2nd to 11th grades (Chicago
Tribune, July 25, 2008). Suppose in a representative sample,
344 of 430 girls and 369 of 450 boys score at proficient or
advanced levels on a standardized math test. (You may find
it useful to reference the appropriate table: z table
or t table)
Let p1 represent the population proportion of
girls and p2 the population proportion of
boys.
a. Construct the 95% confidence interval for the
difference between the population proportions of girls and boys who
score at proficient or advanced levels. (Negative values
should be indicated by a minus sign. Round intermediate
calculations to at least 4 decimal places and final answers to 2
decimal places.)
b. Select the appropriate null and alternative
hypotheses to test whether the proportion of girls who score at
proficient or advanced levels differs from the proportion of
boys.
H0: p1 − p2 = 0; HA: p1 − p2 ≠ 0
H0: p1 − p2 ≤ 0; HA: p1 − p2 > 0
H0: p1 − p2 ≥ 0; HA: p1 − p2 < 0
c. At the 5% significance level, what is the
conclusion to the test? Do the results support the study’s
claim?
Reject H0; the study's claim is supported by the sample data.
Reject H0; the study's claim is not supported by the sample data.
Do not reject H0; the study's claim is supported by the sample data.
Do not reject H0; the study's claim is not supported by the sample data.
sample #1 -----> GIRL
first sample size, n1=
430
number of successes, sample 1 = x1=
344
proportion success of sample 1 , p̂1=
x1/n1= 0.8000
sample #2 -----> BOY
second sample size, n2 =
450
number of successes, sample 2 = x2 =
369
proportion success of sample 1 , p̂ 2= x2/n2 =
0.820
difference in sample proportions, p̂1 - p̂2 =
0.8000 - 0.8200 =
-0.0200
level of significance, α = 0.05
Z critical value = Z α/2 =
1.960 [excel function: =normsinv(α/2)
Std error , SE = SQRT(p̂1 * (1 - p̂1)/n1 + p̂2 *
(1-p̂2)/n2) = 0.0265
margin of error , E = Z*SE = 1.960
* 0.0265 = 0.0519
confidence interval is
lower limit = (p̂1 - p̂2) - E = -0.020
- 0.0519 = -0.0719
upper limit = (p̂1 - p̂2) + E = -0.020
+ 0.0519 = 0.0319
so, confidence interval is ( -0.08 < p1 - p2
< 0.03 )
.................
B)
H0: p1 − p2 = 0; HA: p1 − p2 ≠ 0
..............
C)
Do not reject H0; the study's claim is not supported by the sample data.
.............
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