In: Finance
A pension fund manager is considering three mutual funds. The first is a stock fund, the second is a long-term government and corporate bond fund, and the third is a T-bill money market fund that yields a sure rate of 4.9%. The probability distributions of the risky funds are: Expected Return Standard Deviation Stock fund (S) 10% 39% Bond fund (B) 5% 33% The correlation between the fund returns is 0.0030. What is the expected return and standard deviation for the minimum-variance portfolio of the two risky funds? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.)
Given expected return on stock fund E[S] = 10%
standard deviation for stock fund S.D[S] = 39% VAR[S] = 392= 1521%
expected return on BOND fund E[B] = 5%
standard deviation for bond fund S.D[B] = 33% VAR[B] = 332=1089
Expected return on portfolio E[P]= W1*E[S] + W2*E[B]
minimum variance =W12*VAR[S] + W22*VAR[B]+ 2.W1.W1.correlation[S,B]* S.D[S]*S.D[B]
here,S.D stands for standard deviation and VAR refers to variance of the referred bond
w1 and w2 refer to the proportion of each bond .
calculation of expected return and minimun variance:-
W1 | W2 | EXPECTED RETURN(%) | MINIMUM VARIANCE(%) |
1 | 0 | 10 | 15.21 |
0.9 | 0.1 | 9.5 | 12.45 |
0.8 | 0.2 | 9 | 10.19 |
0.7 | 0.3 | 8.5 | 8.45 |
0.6 | 0.4 | 8 | 7.24 |
0.5 | 0.5 | 7.5 | 6.54 |
0.4 | 0.6 | 7 |
6.37 |
0.3 | 0.7 | 6.5 | 6.72 |
0.2 | 0.8 | 6 | 7.60 |
0.1 | 0.9 | 5.5 | 8.99 |
0 | 1 | 5 | 10.89 |
The variance calculation for W1= 0.6 and W2=0.4 is shown below , repeat the same for all other combinations to get the above table value.
VAR for combination W1=0.6 and W2=0.4
= 0.62*1521 + 0.42*1089 +2*0.6*0.4*0.0030*39*33
=547.56 + 174.24 +1.8533 = 7.24%
so the minimum variance and expected return of the above portfolio are :-
expected return = 7%
minimum variance = 6.37%