In: Statistics and Probability
A researcher is interested whether number of arrests vary across cities. Two random samples were collected. In city 1, the researcher sampled 185 individuals who had an average of 7.3 arrests with a standard deviation of 2.3 arrests. In city 2, the researcher sampled 160 individuals who had an average of 8.2 arrests with a standard deviation of 2.4 arrests. Test the null hypothesis at the .01 level of significance that the number of arrests does not vary across cities. In so doing, identify: (1) the research and null hypothesis, (2) the critical value needed to reject the null, (3) the decision that you made upon analyzing the data, and (4) the conclusion you have drawn based on the decision you have made.
Solution
Final answers in the stipulated format are given below. Back-up Theory and Details of calculations follow at the end.
Part (1)
Research hypothesis:
The number of arrests does not vary across the two cities. Answer 1
Null hypothesis: H0: µ1 = µ2 [Vs Alternative: HA: µ1 ≠ µ2] Answer 2
Part (2)
Critical value: 2.5902 Answer 3
Part (3)
Decision:
Since the calculated value of the test statistic [3.5521] is greater than the critical value,
H0 is rejected. Answer 4
Part (4)
Conclusion: There is sufficient evidence to suggest that the null hypothesis is valid and hence we conclude that the mean number of arrests varies across the two cities. Answer 5
Back-up Theory and Details of calculations
Let X = number of arrests in City 1
Y = number of arrests in City 2
Let mean and standard deviation of X be respectively µ1 and σ1 and those of Y be µ2 andσ2, where σ12 = σ22 = σ2, say and σ2 is unknown.
Hypotheses:
Null: H0: µ1 = µ2 Vs Alternative: HA: µ1 ≠ µ2
Test Statistic:
t = (Xbar - Ybar)/[s√{(1/n1) + (1/n2)}]
where
s2 = {(n1 – 1)s12 + (n2 – 1)s22}/(n1 + n2 – 2);
Xbar and Ybar are sample averages and
s1,s2 are sample standard deviations based on n1 observations on X and n2 observations on Y respectively.
Calculations
Summary of Excel calculations is given below:
n1 |
185 |
n2 |
160 |
Xbar |
7.3 |
Ybar |
8.2 |
s1 |
2.3 |
s2 |
2.4 |
s2 |
5.5079 |
s |
2.3469 |
tcal |
3.5521 |
α |
0.01 |
tcrit |
2.590239 |
Distribution, Significance Level, α Critical Value
Under H0, t ~ tn1 + n2 - 2. Hence, for level of significance α%,
Critical Value = upper (α/2)% point of tn1 + n2 - 2 and
Using Excel Function: Statistical TINV this is found to be as shown in the above table.
Decision:
Since | tcal | > tcrit, H0 is rejected/.
Conclusion:
There is sufficient evidence to suggest that the null hypothesis is valid and hence we conclude that the mean number of arrests vary across the two cities.
DONE