Question

In: Statistics and Probability

What is the relationship between the price of crude oil and the price you pay at...

What is the relationship between the price of crude oil and the price you pay at the pump for​ gasoline? The accompanying table shows the prices of crude oil and the price you pay at the pump for 24 consecutive months. Complete parts​ (a) through​ (h) below.

b. Use the​ least-squares method to develop a simple linear regression equation to predict the gasoline prices using the average crude oil cost as the independent variable.

Month Crude_Oil Gasoline
1 75 1.986
2 76 1.937
3 76 1.807
4 76 1.537
5 77 1.493
6 77 2.076
7 76 1.918
8 83 2.229
9 75 1.638
10 78 1.372
11 81 1.832
12 78 2.019
13 78 2.354
14 80 2.447
15 81 2.211
16 84 2.331
17 80 2.667
18 78 2.884
19 74 2.775
20 81 2.531
21 83 2.619
22 85 3.415
23 84 3.119
24 84 3.096

Solutions

Expert Solution

b.

X - Mx         Y - My        (X - Mx)2 (X - Mx)(Y - My)
-4.1667 -0.2762 17.3611 1.1509
-3.1667 -0.3252 10.0278 1.0298
-3.1667 -0.4552 10.0278 1.4415
-3.1667 -0.7252 10.0278 2.2965
-2.1667 -0.7692 4.6944 1.6666
-2.1667 -0.1862 4.6944 0.4035
-3.1667 -0.3442 10.0278 1.09
3.8333 -0.0332 14.6944 -0.1273
-4.1667 -0.6242 17.3611 2.6009
-1.1667 -0.8902 1.3611 1.0386
1.8333 -0.4302 3.3611 -0.7887
-1.1667 -0.2432 1.3611 0.2837
-1.1667 0.0918 1.3611 -0.1071
0.8333 0.1848 0.6944 0.154
1.8333 -0.0512 3.3611 -0.0939
4.8333 0.0688 23.3611 0.3325
0.8333 0.4048 0.6944 0.3373
-1.1667 0.6218 1.3611 -0.7254
-5.1667 0.5128 26.6944 -2.6494
1.8333 0.2688 3.3611 0.4928
3.8333 0.3568 14.6944 1.3677
5.8333 1.1528 34.0278 6.7246
4.8333 0.8568 23.3611 4.1412
4.8333 0.8338 23.3611 4.03
SS: 261.3333 SP: 26.0902

Sum of X = 1900
Sum of Y = 54.293
Mean X = 79.1667
Mean Y = 2.2622
Sum of squares (SSX) = 261.3333
Sum of products (SP) = 26.0902

Regression Equation = ŷ = bX + a

b = SP/SSX = 26.09/261.33 = 0.0998

a = MY - bMX = 2.26 - (0.1*79.17) = -5.6414

ŷ = 0.0998X - 5.6414


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