In: Statistics and Probability
what are the formulas for each column so i can understand where the numbers are coming from. refer to Question: Historical data indicate that a student's income for any month...part of the answer has been posted on Chegg but the formulas are needed.Thanks!
Assuming the student begins the school year with a balance of $1200, use Excel to simulate 12 months of activity and to predict the position of the student at the end of the year.
Historical data indicate that a student’s income for any month of school from work, parents, scholarships, and loans is consistent with the following probability distribution:
Historical data indicate that a student’s income for any month of school from work, parents, scholarships, and loans is consistent with the following probability distribution:
|
|
First we need to find the cumulative probabilities and the random number intervals for monthly income
Random Number interval | ||||
Income | Probability | Cumulative probability | From | To |
$750 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.2 |
$950 | 0.36 | 0.56 | 0.2 | 0.56 |
$1,150 | 0.3 | 0.86 | 0.56 | 0.86 |
$1,350 | 0.14 | 1 | 0.86 | 1 |
To simulate the income for any given month we use the following steps
Do the same for the expenses
Random Number interval | ||||
Expense | Probability | Cumulative probability | From | To |
$900 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.4 |
$1,000 | 0.25 | 0.65 | 0.4 | 0.65 |
$1,100 | 0.2 | 0.85 | 0.65 | 0.85 |
$1,200 | 0.15 | 1 | 0.85 | 1 |
Do this for 12 months and get the final balance
prepare the following sheet
get this
copy the income and expenses as values to avoid frequent changes.
In this simulation we can see that the position of the student at the end of the year is $1,100
This is 1 trial of 12 months. We would need to do this many times and take an average, if we need the expected value of the final position.