Case: Investment Proposals for Ontario Coffee Home
It is January 1, 2019. You are a Senior Analyst at Ontario
Coffee Home (OCH), one of the leading coffee chains and wholesaler
of coffee/bakery products in Ontario. The CEO of Ontario Coffee
Home, Jerry Donovan, has reached out to you to draft a report to
evaluate two investment proposals.
Requirements
1. Identify which revenues and costs are relevant to your
analysis, and which costs are irrelevant. Summarize all the
information that will be required for each investment proposal,
including describing the proposal and identifying the time horizon
for each proposal evaluation.
2. Calculate the after-tax cash flows during the life of each
of the projects.
3. Utilizing the after-tax cash flows from question 2,
evaluate each investment proposal utilizing the following criteria
(unless directed otherwise):
a. Payback
b. NPV
4. Clearly indicate whether any of the above criteria support
each of the project proposals, and what the company should
ultimately decide to do.
Investment Proposals
Jerry Donovan, CEO of OCH, wants you to evaluate two
investment proposals that the company is considering:
1. The purchase of a coffee roaster plant in Cuba.
2. The re-development of coffee shops to accommodate the
selling of frozen yogurt.
Mr. Donovan reminds you that only relevant costs and revenues
should be considered. “Relevant costs have to be occurring in the
future,” explained Mr. Donovan. “And have to differ from the status
quo. For example, if we choose to buy the roaster plant, it is only
the incremental revenue and costs related to the purchase that
should be considered. We also need to take into account the
opportunity cost associated with the alternatives.”
More details on each investment proposal are included below.
Mr. Donovan wants you to recommend if OCH should invest in one,
both, or none of the investment proposals.
Required Return
Mr. Donovan wants you to use 7% as the discount rate (i.e.,
the required return).
Investment in Roasted Coffee Plant
Mr. Donovan is considering purchasing a coffee plant in Cuba
where labour is cheap and there are proximal coffee farms to help
lower transportation costs.
The acquisition price of the plant is $6M, which includes
roasting equipment that originally cost $14M when it was purchased
8 years ago. Some of the equipment is on its last legs, so an
additional $2M of equipment has to be purchased. The roaster plant
currently has $2M of available tax shield left, excluding any tax
shield related to the equipment to be purchased.
The direct materials and direct labour used to manufacture
these products are 8% and 7% of sales, respectively. The actual
roasting processing costs are approximately 17% of sales. These
costs as a percentage of sales are expected to remain consistent
over the time horizon. The plant also requires two managers with
fixed salaries of $50,000 each per year. Insurance for the plant
and equipment is $40,000 per year.
Other incremental manufacturing overhead costs (property
taxes, maintenance, security, etc.) excluding depreciation are
estimated to be $75,000 annually. Wages are expected to increase
with inflation (estimated to be 2%) over the time period, while
other fixed costs are expected to remain steady.
Transportation variable costs (gas, variable overhead, etc.)
are estimated to be 12% of revenue, and include transportation of
raw materials to the roaster and finished products to the port for
delivery to OCH coffeehouses.
The roasted coffee plant is expected to produce 1.1M pounds of
coffee for the first two years, with production dipping by 100,000
pounds per year after this due to lower productivity from the
deteriorating equipment. Each pound of roasted coffee can be sold
at $3.25 per pound (either to retail cafes, franchise cafes, or to
wholesale partners), with the price expected to rise with inflation
over time. Each pound of coffee can make 30 cups of coffee that can
sell at an average retail price of $4.00 per cup. Mr. Donovan has
stressed that the profitability of the plant base has to be looked
at on a stand-alone basis, i.e., from the sales from the plant to
buyers, not from retail cafés to customers.
Mr. Donovan wants to see if the project will reach
profitability after 5 years, as significant reinvestment will be
needed after five years to keep the plant operational, so he wants
you to evaluate the return on investment in that period using the
investment criteria of payback period, NPV, and IRR. The following
table will help in the calculations of the tax shield for the new
equipment:
Class
CCA Rate
Description
43
30%
Machine and equipment to manufacture and process goods for
sale
Assume no salvage value when calculating the tax shield, and
that the half-year rule applies for Class 43. The tax rate Mr.
Donovan wants you to utilize is 25%. When calculating the tax
shield, the present value should be in the same period as the
initial investment (Year 0), which also means that deprecation
(i.e., CCA) should not be taken from the cash flows in subsequent
years since their tax shelter effects are already accounted for in
the tax shield.
Redevelopment of Coffee Shops
Mr. Donovan also wants you to evaluate the potential of
developing several hundred stores into new store models with frozen
yogurt services. Five hundred stores have been selected as
candidates for development. It will cost $80,000 to convert each
store, including modifications to refrigeration equipment, with
these costs being capitalized with a 6% applicable CCA rate. The
average modified coffee shop is expected to generate an additional
$30,000 in after-tax cash flow every year. However, OCH is also
estimated to lose about $15,000 in annual after-tax cash flow from
these cafés due to yogurt sales cannibalizing existing coffee
shops. In other words, some customers who normally would have
purchased coffee would instead purchase yogurt.
The five hundred stores have average annual rent of $36,000
each. Mr. Donovan wants you to evaluate the profitability of this
investment after a seven-year period using the investment criteria
of NPV.