In: Statistics and Probability
Recently, Experian reported that the average credit score for a new-car loan was 753. Suppose Ally Financial, a bank holding company that finances car loans, would like to test the hypothesis that the average credit score has increased since the Experian report. A random sample of 20 new-car loans had an average credit score of 764.2 with a sample standard deviation of 34.5. Ally Financial would like to set α = 0.05. The p-value for this hypothesis test would be ________ .
Solution :
Null and alternative hypotheses :
The null and alternative hypotheses are as follows :
Where, μ is population mean credit score of the new car loans.
Test statistic :
To test the hypothesis the most appropriate test is one sample t-test. The test statistic is given as follows :
Where, x̅ is sample mean, s is sample standard deviation, n is sample size and μ is hypothesized value of population mean under H0.
We have, x̅ = 764.2, s = 34.5, n = 20 and μ = 753
The value of the test statistic is 1.4518.
P-value :
Since, our test is right-tailed test, therefore we shall obtain right-tailed p-value for the test statistic. The right-tailed p-value is given as follows :
P-value = P(T > t)
P-value = P(T > 1.4518)
P-value = 0.0814
The p-value for the test is 0.0814.
Decision :
Significance level = 0.05
P-value = 0.0814
(0.0814 > 0.05)
Since, p-value is greater than the significance level of 0.05, therefore we shall be fail to reject the null hypothesis (H0) at 0.05 significance level.
Conclusion :
At 0.05 significance level there is not sufficient evidence to conclude that the average credit score has increased since the Experian report.
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