In: Statistics and Probability
Take 5 cards from a 52 card deck without replacement.
a) Use the multiplication principle reason out the number of ways to get 1 pair
and 3 other non-paired cards
(Hint: Fill in the number of ways to choose: 1 card type, 1 matching card,
1 card that doesn’t match, 1 card that doesn’t match any of the previous 3, 1 card that doesn’t match any of the previous.
b) How many ways can you draw out a set of 5 cards?
c) What’s the probability of exactly one pair?
d) How many times would you expect to exactly one pair in 50 trials?
e) Run 50 trails (shuffle each time if you’re using a real deck of cards)
How many times did you get exactly one pair?
Is this consistent with what’d you expect from part (d)?
a) We know there are 4 suits in a deck of cards and each suit contains 13 cards.
So at first, we can get 1 pair in
ways.
Now if we need 3 other non-paired cards, we have to select them from the other 3 suits and each one of them should be from a different suite.
So we can select the 3rd card in
ways and the 4th card in
and the last one in
.
Hence we can get 1 pair and 3 other non-paired cards
in
.
b) We can draw a set of 5 cards in
c) The probability of getting exactly one pair
in a set of 5 cards is
d) Let
be the number of times we get exactly one pair in a
set of 5 cards in 50 trials.
So the expected number is
.
e) (After running a simulation)
I didn't get any pair in 50 trials.
Yes, this is consistent with what I expected from part (d).
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