In: Statistics and Probability
Include diagrams and calculations for the following:
A.In a recent random sample of 200 students at a large university who were recently forced to watch their lectures on-line, 65 indicated that they preferred on-line lectures as opposed to the normal in-class lectures. Estimate, with 90% confidence, the true proportion of all students at this large university who prefer on-line lectures. (Include a concluding statement similar to concluding statements from examples already covered in class.)
B.In a random sample of 50 Nevada automobile owners who recently had the oil in their cars changed, 30 asked for synthetic oil. Estimate, with 99% confidence, the population proportion of Nevada automobile owners who preferred synthetic oil over regular oil. (No concluding statement is necessary when answering this question.)
Solution :
Given that,
n = 200
x = 65
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 55 / 200 = 0.325
1 - = 1 - 0.325 = 0.675
At 90% confidence level
= 1 - 90%
=1 - 0.90 = 0.10
/2
= 0.05
Z/2
= Z0.05 = 1.645
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.645 (((0.325 * 0.675 ) / 200 )
= 0.054
A 90% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.325 - 0.054 < p < 0.325 + 0.054
0.271 < p < 0.379
( 0.271 , 0.379 )
The 90% confidence interval for the population proportion p is : - ( 0.271 , 0.379 )
( b )
n = 50
x = 30
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 30 / 50 = 0.600
1 - = 1 - 0.600 = 0.400
At 99% confidence level
= 1 - 99%
=1 - 0.99 = 0.01
/2
= 0.005
Z/2
= Z0.005 = 2.576
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 2.576 ((( 0.600 * 0.400) / 50)
= 0.178
A 99% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.600 - 0.178 < p < 0.600 + 0.178
0.422 < p < 0.778
( 0.422 , 0.778 )
The 99% confidence interval for the population proportion p is : - ( 0.422 , 0.778 )