In: Statistics and Probability
Answers |
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Point Estimate |
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Standard Error |
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Margin of Error |
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Alpha |
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Critical Value |
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Confidence Interval |
During a national debate on changes to health care, a cable news service performs an opinion poll of 500 small business owners. It shows that 325 of small-business owners do not approve of health care changes. Develop a 95% confidence interval for the proportion opposing health care changes.
Solution :
Given,
n = 500 ....... Sample size
x = 325 .......no. of successes in the sample
Let denotes the sample proportion.
= x/n = 325/500 = 0.65
Our aim is to construct 95% confidence interval.
c = 0.95
= 1- c = 1- 0.95 = 0.05
/2 = 0.025 and 1- /2 = 0.975
Search the probability 0.975 in the Z table and see corresponding z value
= 1.96
Now , the margin of error is given by
E = /2 *
= 1.96 * [ 0.65 *(1 - 0.65)/500]
E = 0.042
Now the confidence interval is given by
( - E) ( + E)
( 0.65 - 0.042) ( 0.65 + 0.042 )
0.608 0.692
Required 95% Confidence Interval is ( 0.608 , 0.692 )