In: Finance
You are interested in a six-month European put option with a strike price of $60 on a non-dividend-paying stock when the stock price is $55. Your calculations revealed that lower bound for this option is $3.1 and option is trading at $2.5. What position do you need in option and underlying stock for an arbitrage profit?
Lower bound of the put option price = PV(K) - S0 = Ke-rf x t - S0 = 60e-rf x 6/12 - 55
This lower bound is given as $ 3.10
Hence, 60e-rf x 6/12 - 55 = 3.10
Or, e-rf x 0.5 = 58.10/60 = 0.9683
Hence, rf = -ln(0.9683) / 0.5 = 6.44%
Hence, position you need in option and underlying stock for an arbitrage profit:
Initial cash flows = 0
And the arbitrage profit, P = max (K - S, 0) + S - Borrowed amount x erf x t
= max (60 - S, 0) + S - 57.5e6.44% x 0.5
= max (60 - S, 0) + S - 59.38
Case 1: S < 60; hence 60 - S > 0; hence the put option will be exercised
P = max (60 - S, 0) + S - 59.38 = 60 - S + S - 59.38 = $ 0.62
Case 2: S > 60; hence, 60 - S < 0; hence put option will not be exercised
P = max (60 - S, 0) + S - 59.38 = 0 + S - 59.38 = S - 59.38 > 0.62 as S > 60
Hence, we make a riskless and certain profit at the end of 6 months without any initial investment. This is the arbitrage profit.