In: Statistics and Probability
Refer to the data set of 20 randomly selected presidents given below. Treat the data as a sample and find the proportion of presidents who were taller than their opponents. Use that result to construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population percentage. Based on the result, does it appear that greater height is an advantage for presidential candidates? Why or why not?
Click the icon to view the table of heights.
Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the percentage of presidents who were taller than their opponents. nothing%less than p less than nothing% (Round to one decimal place as needed.)
Greater height ▼ (appears or does not appear) to be an advantage for presidential candidates. If greater height was an advantage, then taller candidates should have won ▼ (exactly, less than, or more than) 50% of the elections and the confidence interval ▼ (does not or does) include 50%.
This is the chart
PRESIDENT |
HEIGHT |
OPP |
|
Harrison |
168 |
180 |
|
Harding |
183 |
178 |
|
Lincoln |
193 |
188 |
|
Wilson |
180 |
182 |
|
Jackson |
185 |
171 |
|
Truman |
175 |
173 |
|
Hoover |
182 |
180 |
|
Coolidge |
178 |
180 |
|
Jefferson |
189 |
170 |
|
Eisenhower |
179 |
178 |
|
Clinton |
188 |
188 |
|
G. W. Bush |
183 |
185 |
|
Polk |
173 |
185 |
|
Taylor |
173 |
174 |
|
Taft |
182 |
178 |
|
Hayes |
173 |
178 |
|
Nixon |
182 |
180 |
|
Reagan |
185 |
177 |
|
Cleveland |
180 |
180 |
|
Johnson |
192 |
180 |
Let d = height - opp
If president height is greater than opp then d must be positive. Following table shows the d:
PRESIDENT | HEIGHT | OPP | d=height-opp |
Harrison | 168 | 180 | -12 |
Harding | 183 | 178 | 5 |
Lincoln | 193 | 188 | 5 |
Wilson | 180 | 182 | -2 |
Jackson | 185 | 171 | 14 |
Truman | 175 | 173 | 2 |
Hoover | 182 | 180 | 2 |
Coolidge | 178 | 180 | -2 |
Jefferson | 189 | 170 | 19 |
Eisenhower | 179 | 178 | 1 |
Clinton | 188 | 188 | 0 |
G. W. Bush | 183 | 185 | -2 |
Polk | 173 | 185 | -12 |
Taylor | 173 | 174 | -1 |
Taft | 182 | 178 | 4 |
Hayes | 173 | 178 | -5 |
Nixon | 182 | 180 | 2 |
Reagan | 185 | 177 | 8 |
Cleveland | 180 | 180 | 0 |
Johnson | 192 | 180 | 12 |
Out of 20 d's. 13 are positive. So the required confidence interval is
Hence, the required confidence interval is
44.1% < p < 85.9%
Greater height does not appear to be an advantage for presidential candidates. If greater height was an advantage, then taller candidates should have won more than 50% of the elections and the confidence interval does not include 50%.