In: Statistics and Probability
Asian economies impact some of the world's largest populations. The growth of an economy has a big influence on the everyday lives of ordinary people. Are Asian economies changing? A random sample of 15 Asian economies gave the following information about annual percentage growth rate. (Reference: Handbook of International Economic Statistics, U.S. Government Documents.)
Region | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
Modern Growth Rate % | 4.7 | 2.2 | 7.4 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 4.9 |
Historic Growth Rate | 3.4 | 1.5 | 7.4 | 5.8 | 3.2 | 6.9 | 3.3 | 8.8 |
Region | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
Modern Growth Rate % | 4.2 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 0.2 | 7.6 |
Historic Growth Rate | 6.8 | 7.4 | 6.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 5.8 |
Does this information indicate a change (either way) in the growth rate of Asian economies? Use a 5% level of significance.
Compute the sample test statistic. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
Find the P-value of the sample test statistic. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)
Borrowing money may be necessary for business expansion. However, too much borrowed money can also mean trouble. Are developing countries tending to borrow more? A random sample of 20 developing countries gave the following information regarding foreign debt per capita (in U.S. dollars, inflation adjusted). (Reference: Handbook of International Economic Statistics, U.S. Government Documents.)
Country | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
Modern Debt per Capita | 173 | 153 | 123 | 128 | 94 | 84 | 35 | 27 | 27 | 84 |
Historic Debt per Capita | 145 | 136 | 89 | 113 | 58 | 62 | 36 | 35 | 41 | 73 |
Country | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
Modern Debt per Capita | 24 | 23 | 12 | 27 | 196 | 184 | 142 | 121 | 107 | 79 |
Historic Debt per Capita | 29 | 11 | 18 | 23 | 105 | 154 | 148 | 119 | 111 | 76 |
Does this information indicate that foreign debt per capita is increasing in developing countries? Use a 0.01 level of significance.
Compute the sample test statistic. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
Find the P-value of the sample test statistic. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)
1. Let and denote the mean modern and the historic growth rate
To test the hypothesis excel is used.
The output of the test is:
t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Unequal Variances | ||
Modern Growth Rate | Historic Growth Rate | |
Mean | 4.046667 | 4.84 |
Variance | 5.365524 | 6.288286 |
Observations | 15 | 15 |
Hypothesized Mean Difference | 0 | |
df | 28 | |
t Stat | -0.90005 | |
P(T<=t) one-tail | 0.187885 | |
t Critical one-tail | 1.701131 | |
P(T<=t) two-tail | 0.375769 | |
t Critical two-tail | 2.048407 |
From the output the value of the test statistic is -0.90
p-value = 0.3758
2.
Let and denote the mean modern and the historic debt rate per capita.
To test the hypothesis excel is used.
The output of the test is:
t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Unequal Variances | ||
Modern Debt Rate | Historic Debt Rate | |
Mean | 92.15 | 79.1 |
Variance | 3547.082 | 2238.516 |
Observations | 20 | 20 |
Hypothesized Mean Difference | 0 | |
df | 36 | |
t Stat | 0.767276 | |
P(T<=t) one-tail | 0.22396 | |
t Critical one-tail | 2.434494 | |
P(T<=t) two-tail | 0.447921 | |
t Critical two-tail | 2.719485 |
From the output the value of the test statistic is 0.77
p-value = (1-0.22396) = 0.776(Since right tail)