In: Statistics and Probability
Data from a recent year showed that 69% of the tens of thousands of applicants to a certain program were accepted. A company that trains applicants claimed that 186 of the 250 students it trained that year were accepted. Assume these trainees were representative of the population of applicants. Has the company demonstrated a real improvement over the average? Complete parts a through c below.
a) What are the hypotheses?
Which hypotheses below will test if the company demonstrated improvement over the average?
A.
Upper H 0H0:
pequals=0.690.69
Upper H Subscript Upper AHA:
pnot equals≠0.690.69
B.
Upper H 0H0:
pequals=0.690.69
Upper H Subscript Upper AHA:
pless than<0.690.69
C.
Upper H 0H0:
pequals=0.74400.7440
Upper H Subscript Upper AHA:
pless than<0.74400.7440
D.
Upper H 0H0:
pequals=0.690.69
Upper H Subscript Upper AHA:
pgreater than>0.690.69
E.
Upper H 0H0:
pequals=0.74400.7440
Upper H Subscript Upper AHA:
pgreater than>0.74400.7440
F.
Upper H 0H0:
pequals=0.74400.7440
Upper H Subscript Upper AHA:
pnot equals≠0.74400.7440
b) Verify that the conditions are satisfied and find the P-value.
Which assumptions and conditions below are met? Select all that apply.
A.
The success/failure condition is met.
B.
The independence assumption is met.
C.
The 10% condition is met.
D.
The randomization condition is met.
What is the P-value?
P-valueequals=nothing
(Round to four decimal places as needed.)
c) Would you recommend this company based on what you see here?
A.The P-value provides
insufficient evidenceinsufficient evidence
that the program is successful.
B.The P-value provides
some indicationsome indication
that the program is successful.
C.The P-value provides
strong evidencestrong evidence
that the program is successful.
D.
Inference is not possible since the assumptions and conditions are not met.
a.)
Correct Option is D
Explanation :
For one sample greater than proportion test the hypothesis to be tested are
H0 : P = P0 against H1 : P > P0
where P0 is the population proportion .
The hypothesis to be tested here are :
H0 : P = 0.69
against
H1 : P > 0.69
As the company wants to test the improvement of the selection process of the company hence the alternative hypothesis will be of greater than type
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b.)
Correct option is A, B, C and D
P - Value : 0.0324 .
Explanation :
Condition of Independence :
The independence condition our sample size shouldn't exceed 10% of the population size. Since our sample of 250 is less than 10% of the population, the sample satisfies the independence condition.
Condition of Success / Failure :
In this assumption we expect at least 10 successes and 10 failures in our sample.
Here in our example n = 250 and p = 186/250 = 0.744
There are approximately :
np = 250 * 0.744 = 186 Successes and
n(1-p) = 250*(1-0.744) = 64 failures .
Thus we can conclude that np > 10 and n(1-p) > 10 .
Since both are greater than 10 the success / failure condition is satisfied and verified .
the normal condition is satisfied.
Condition of 10% :
This condition states that the sample sizes should be no more than 10 % of the population:
Here the sample size is 250 of tens of thousands of population .
Hence the 10 % condition is also met
Condition of Randomization :
Since the sample taken is not a biased data mentioned in the example it is a representative of the population , condition of randomization is met .
P - Value :
the z- test statistic here is 1.846 and is computed as follows
The p-value is 0.0324 ..........................................(Calculated from normal probability table Corresponding to 1.846)
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c.)
Correct answer is C.
Explanation :
Decision :
Since it is observed that z = 1.846 zc = 1.64z=1.846>zc=1.64, it is then concluded that the null hypothesis is rejected.
where zc is the critical region .
Using the P-value approach: The p-value is p =0.0324, and since p=0.0324<0.05, it is concluded that the null hypothesis is rejected and p > 0.69 is accepted .
Conclusion
It is concluded that the null hypothesis Ho is rejected. Therefore, there is enough evidence to claim that the population proportion is greater than p0 and we can conclude that the program is successful .
Hence p value provides strong evidence to reject null hypothesis as it is 0.0324 and is less than 0.05.
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Ans :
a.) D
b.) A, B, C, D
c.) C
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