In: Statistics and Probability
I need to know how to break this scenario down for probability questions..
After reading a recent report revealing that workplace diversity can improve the development of ideas, Quantitative Industrial (QI) decides to hire 2 recent graduates to have a better age-profile in its workforce. They interview many candidates but have settled on 5 finalists for the position. They have ranked their choices from 1 to 5. Unbeknownst to them, each finalist has a certain probability of accepting their offer of $60,000 as the starting salary: Candidate 1 -- 25% Candidate 2 -- 50% Candidate 3 -- 10% Candidate 4 -- 0% or 100% if candidate 5 is also hired (think about this as a conditional probability) Candidate 5 -- 50%
Answer:-
Given that:-
I need to know how to break this scenario down for probability questions..
After reading a recent report revealing that workplace diversity can improve the development of ideas, Quantitative Industrial (QI) decides to hire 2 recent graduates to have a better age-profile in its workforce. They interview many candidates but have settled on 5 finalists for the position. They have ranked their choices from 1 to 5. Unbeknownst to them, each finalist has a certain probability of accepting their offer of $60,000 as the starting salary:
Candidate 1 -- 25%
Candidate 2 -- 50%
Candidate 3 -- 10%
Candidate 4 -- 0% or 100% if candidate 5 is also hired (think about this as a conditional probability)
Candidate 5 -- 50%
Since candidate 4 would only accept the offer if, candidate 5 is also selected i.e., also selected i.e., two select 2 people successfully here if 1,2,3 reject the offer we must select two candidates .
But if only candidate is selected, then candidate 4 is out of the picture So probability of successful hiring changes.
Previously if probability of candidate 4 was 0 or 1 , now it becomes 0.