Question

In: Statistics and Probability

The types of raw materials used to construct stone tools found at an archaeological site are...

The types of raw materials used to construct stone tools found at an archaeological site are shown below. A random sample of 1486 stone tools were obtained from a current excavation site.

Raw Material Regional Percent of Stone Tools Observed Number of Tools as Current excavation Site
Basalt 61.3% 910
Obsidian 10.6% 161
Welded Tuff 11.4% 173
Pedernal chert 13.1% 185
Other 3.6% 57

Use a 1% level of significance to test the claim that the regional distribution of raw materials fits the distribution at the current excavation site.

(a) What is the level of significance?


State the null and alternate hypotheses.

H0: The distributions are the same.
H1: The distributions are different.H0: The distributions are the same.
H1: The distributions are the same.    H0: The distributions are different.
H1: The distributions are the same.H0: The distributions are different.
H1: The distributions are different.


(b) Find the value of the chi-square statistic for the sample. (Round the expected frequencies to at least three decimal places. Round the test statistic to three decimal places.)


Are all the expected frequencies greater than 5?

YesNo    


What sampling distribution will you use?

Student's tchi-square    uniformnormalbinomial


What are the degrees of freedom?


(c) Find or estimate the P-value of the sample test statistic.

P-value > 0.1000.050 < P-value < 0.100    0.025 < P-value < 0.0500.010 < P-value < 0.0250.005 < P-value < 0.010P-value < 0.005


(d) Based on your answers in parts (a) to (c), will you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis of independence?

Since the P-value > α, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.Since the P-value > α, we reject the null hypothesis.    Since the P-value ≤ α, we reject the null hypothesis.Since the P-value ≤ α, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.


(e) Interpret your conclusion in the context of the application.

At the 0.01 level of significance, the evidence is sufficient to conclude that the regional distribution of raw materials does not fit the distribution at the current excavation site.At the 0.01 level of significance, the evidence is insufficient to conclude that the regional distribution of raw materials does not fit the distribution at the current excavation site.  

Solutions

Expert Solution

a)

Level of significance = 0.01

The null and alternative hypothesis is

H0: The distributions are the same.
H1: The distributions are different.

b)

Test statistic is

O: Observed frequency
E: Expected frequency.

E = n*pi

n = 1486

O p E (O-E) (O-E)^2 (O-E)^2/E
910 0.613 910.918 -0.918 0.842724 0.000925
161 0.106 157.516 3.484 12.13826 0.07706
173 0.114 169.404 3.596 12.93122 0.076334
185 0.131 194.666 -9.666 93.43156 0.479958
57 0.036 53.496 3.504 12.27802 0.229513
Total 1486 0.864

Yes, all the expected frequencies greater than 5.

The sampling distribution we use chi-square.

Degrees of freedom = Number of E's - 1 = 5 - 1 = 4

c)

0.90 < P-value < 0.95

P-value > 0.100

d)

Since the P-value > α, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

e)

At the 0.01 level of significance, the evidence is insufficient to conclude that the regional distribution of raw materials does not fit the distribution at the current excavation site.  


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