In: Finance
Step-1, Dividend for the next 5 years
Dividend in Year 1 (D1) = 0.65
Dividend in Year 2 (D2) = 0.72
Dividend in Year 3 (D3) = 0.85
Dividend in Year 4 (D4) = 0.89
Dividend in Year 5 (D5) = 0.95
Step-2, Share Price in Year 5 (P5)
Dividend in Year 5 (D5) = 0.95 per share
Dividend Growth Rate after Year 5 (g) = 4.00% per year
Required Rate of Return (Ke) = 11.50%
Share Price in Year 5 (P5) = D5(1 + g) / (Ke – g)
= 0.95(1 + 0.04) / (0.1150 – 0.05)
= 0.9880 / 0.0750
= 13.17 per share
Step-3, The Current Stock Price
As per Dividend Discount Model, Current Stock Price the aggregate of the Present Value of the future dividend payments and the present value the share price in year 5
Year |
Cash flow |
Present Value Factor (PVF) at 11.50% |
Present Value of cash flows [Cash flows x PVF] |
1 |
0.65 |
0.89686 |
0.58 |
2 |
0.72 |
0.80436 |
0.58 |
3 |
0.85 |
0.72140 |
0.61 |
4 |
0.89 |
0.64699 |
0.58 |
5 |
0.95 |
0.58026 |
0.55 |
5 |
13.17 |
0.58026 |
7.64 |
TOTAL |
10.55 |
||
Hence, the Current price of the share will be 10.55
NOTE
The Formula for calculating the Present Value Factor is [1/(1 + r)n], Where “r” is the Discount/Interest Rate and “n” is the number of years.