In: Finance
Halliford Corporation expects to have earnings this coming year of $ 2.838 per share. Halliford plans to retain all of its earnings for the next two years. Then, for the subsequent two years, the firm will retain 53 % of its earnings. It will retain 19 % of its earnings from that point onward. Each year, retained earnings will be invested in new projects with an expected return of 26.3 % per year. Any earnings that are not retained will be paid out as dividends. Assume Halliford's share count remains constant and all earnings growth comes from the investment of retained earnings. If Halliford's equity cost of capital is 11.3 %, what price would you estimate for Halliford shares? The share price will be $ nothing. (Round to the nearest cent.)
Calculation of Price of Halliford shares
Year | ROE | Retention Ratio | Growth Rate | Dividend Payout Ratio | EPS | Dividend/Price | PVF @11.3% | Present Value of Cash Flows |
(ROE*Retention Ratio) | (100 - Retention Ratio) | =EPS * (1 + Growth rate) | Dividend = EPS * Dividend Payot Ratio) | |||||
1 | 26.3% | 100% | 26.30% | 0% | 2.838 | 0 | 0.898472597 | 0 |
2 | 26.3% | 100% | 26.30% | 0% | 3.584394 | 0 | 0.807253007 | 0 |
3 | 26.3% | 53% | 13.939% | 47% | 4.08402268 | 1.919490659 | 0.725294705 | 1.392196412 |
4 | 26.3% | 53% | 13.939% | 47% | 4.653294601 | 2.187048462 | 0.651657417 | 1.425206352 |
4 | 26.3% | 19% | 4.997% | 81% | 4.88581956 | 62.7877833(Working Note) | 0.651657417 | 40.9161247 |
Intrinsic Value | 43.73352747 or 43.73 |
Working Note:
Calculation of Terminal Value Price
Terminal Value Price at year 4 = Expected Dividend in year 5 / ( Cost of Capital - Growth rate)
=(4.88581956 * 81%) / (0.113 - 0.04997)
= 3.957513983 / 0.06303
= 62.78778333