In: Statistics and Probability
Your driving time to work T (continuous random variable) is between 22 and 64 minutes if the day is sunny, and between 41 and 86 minutes if the day is rainy, with a uniform probability density function in the given range in each case. Assume that a day is sunny with probability p subscript s = 0.41 and rainy with probability p subscript r equals 1 minus p subscript s. Your distance to work is X = 60 kilometers. Let V be your average speed for the drive to work, measured in kilometers per minute: V equals X over T Compute the value of the probability density function (PDF) of the average speed V at V = 0.62
Answer:
Given Data
Average driving time to work on a sunny day
The variance of average time to work on a sunny day
Average driving time to work on a rainy day
The variance of average time to work on a rainy day
Probability of a sunny day
Probability of a rainy day
Average driving time to work
T = 54.275min
The variance of driving time to work
The standard deviation of the time to work
For average speed to be equal to 0.62km/min. the time should be
The probability that the time will be equal to 96.774min is
P(T= 96.774)
Making the continuity correction
= P(96.274 < T< 97.274)
= P(3.7952 < z < 3.8855)
= P( z< 3.7952) - P(z < 3.8855)
= 0.000074 - 0.000051
= 0.000023
Hence, the probability that the average speed will be 0.62 km/min = 0.000023
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