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A pension fund manager is considering three mutual funds. The first is a stock fund, the...

A pension fund manager is considering three mutual funds. The first is a stock fund, the second is a long-term government and corporate bond fund, and the third is a T-bill money market fund that yields a rate of 8 percent. The probability distribution of the risky funds is as follows:

Expected Return

Standard Deviation

Stock fund (S)

.20

.30

Bond fund (B)

.12

.15

The correlation between the fund returns is 0.10.

  1. What are the investment proportions of the minimum-variance portfolio of the two risky funds, and what is the expected value and standard deviation of its rate of return?
  2. Solve numerically for the proportions of each of the assets and for the expected return and standard deviation of the optimal risky portfolio.

Solutions

Expert Solution

  The weight of stock in the minimum variance portfolio is calculated using the following formula

wmin(S) = [σ2B - Cov(rs, rB)]/[σ2s + σ2B - 2 Cov(rs, rB)]

The parameters of the opportunity set are:

E(rS) = 20%, E(rB) = 12%, σS = 30%, σB = 15%, ρ = 0.10

From the standard deviations and the correlation coefficient we can calculate the

covariance matrix

Cov(rS, rB) = ρσSσB

Bonds Stocks

Bonds 225 45

Stocks 45 900

The minimum-variance portfolio is computed as follows:

wmin(S) = [225-45]/[900+225-(2x45)] = 0.1739

wmin(B) = 1 − 0.1739 = 0.8261

The minimum variance portfolio mean and standard deviation are:

E(rMin) = (0.1739 × 20) + (0.8261 × 12) = 13.39%

σMin = [w2s σ2s+ w2B σ2B + 2ws wB Cov(rs ,rB )]

= [(0.17392 × 900) + (0.82612 × 225) + (2 × 0.1739 × 0.8261 × 45)]1/2

= 13.92%

Now,Solve numerically for the proportions of each asset and for the expected return and standard deviation of the optimal

risky portfolio.

The optimal risky portfolio is the combination of stock and bond fund that gives investor the best risk-return trade-off when combining with T-bill

The proportion of the optimal risky portfolio invested in the stock fund is given by:

ws = {[E(rs) -rf] σ2B-[E(rB)-rf] Cov(rs,rB)}/[E(rs) - rf2B+[E(rB)-rf2s-[E(rs)-rf+E(rB)-rf]Cov(rs,rB)

= {[(20-8)x 225]-[(12-8)x45]}/[(20-8) X225]+[(12-8)x900-[(20-8+12-8)x45] = 0.4516

ws= 1-0.4516 = 0.5484

The mean and standard deviation of the optimal risky portfolio are:

E(rP) = (0.4516 × 20) + (0.5484 × 12) = 15.61%

σp = [(0.45162× 900) + (0.54842 × 225) + (2 × 0.4516 × 0.5484 × 45)]1/2

= 16.54%


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