In: Finance
A pension fund manager is considering three mutual funds. The first is a stock fund, the second is a long-term government and corporate bond fund, and the third is a T-bill money market fund that yields a rate of 8 percent. The probability distribution of the risky funds is as follows:
Expected Return |
Standard Deviation |
|
Stock fund (S) |
.20 |
.30 |
Bond fund (B) |
.12 |
.15 |
The correlation between the fund returns is 0.10.
The weight of stock in the minimum variance portfolio is calculated using the following formula
wmin(S) = [σ2B - Cov(rs, rB)]/[σ2s + σ2B - 2 Cov(rs, rB)]
The parameters of the opportunity set are:
E(rS) = 20%, E(rB) = 12%, σS = 30%, σB = 15%, ρ = 0.10
From the standard deviations and the correlation coefficient we can calculate the
covariance matrix
Cov(rS, rB) = ρσSσB
Bonds Stocks
Bonds 225 45
Stocks 45 900
The minimum-variance portfolio is computed as follows:
wmin(S) = [225-45]/[900+225-(2x45)] = 0.1739
wmin(B) = 1 − 0.1739 = 0.8261
The minimum variance portfolio mean and standard deviation are:
E(rMin) = (0.1739 × 20) + (0.8261 × 12) = 13.39%
σMin = [w2s σ2s+ w2B σ2B + 2ws wB Cov(rs ,rB )]
= [(0.17392 × 900) + (0.82612 × 225) + (2 × 0.1739 × 0.8261 × 45)]1/2
= 13.92%
Now,Solve numerically for the proportions of each asset and for the expected return and standard deviation of the optimal
risky portfolio.
The optimal risky portfolio is the combination of stock and bond fund that gives investor the best risk-return trade-off when combining with T-bill
The proportion of the optimal risky portfolio invested in the stock fund is given by:
ws = {[E(rs) -rf] σ2B-[E(rB)-rf] Cov(rs,rB)}/[E(rs) - rf]σ2B+[E(rB)-rf]σ2s-[E(rs)-rf+E(rB)-rf]Cov(rs,rB)
= {[(20-8)x 225]-[(12-8)x45]}/[(20-8) X225]+[(12-8)x900-[(20-8+12-8)x45] = 0.4516
ws= 1-0.4516 = 0.5484
The mean and standard deviation of the optimal risky portfolio are:
E(rP) = (0.4516 × 20) + (0.5484 × 12) = 15.61%
σp = [(0.45162× 900) + (0.54842 × 225) + (2 × 0.4516 × 0.5484 × 45)]1/2
= 16.54%