In: Statistics and Probability
The following data represent a company's yearly sales and its advertising expenditure over a period of 8 years.
Sales in Millions of Dollars (y) Advertising Expenditure (in $10,000) (x)
15 32
16 33
18 35
17 34
16 36
19 37
19 39
24 42
a. Use the method of least squares to compute an estimated regression equation between sales and advertising
b. If the company's advertising expenditure is $400,000, what are the predicted sales? Give the answer in dollars.
c. What does the slope of the estimated regression line indicate?
d. Compute the coefficient of determination and fully interpret its meaning
e. Compute the correlation coefficient.
f. Use the F test to determine whether or not the regression model is significant at α = .05.
g. Use the t test to determine whether the slope of the regression model is significant at α = .05.
h. Develop a 95% confidence interval for predicting the average sales for the years when $400,000 was spent on advertising. Give your answer in dollars.
using excel>Addin>phstat>Regression
we have
Regression Analysis | ||||||
Regression Statistics | ||||||
Multiple R | 0.919709009 | |||||
R Square | 0.845864662 | |||||
Adjusted R Square | 0.820175439 | |||||
Standard Error | 1.199415062 | |||||
Observations | 8 | |||||
ANOVA | ||||||
df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | ||
Regression | 1 | 47.36842105 | 47.36842105 | 32.92682927 | 0.001217346 | |
Residual | 6 | 8.631578947 | 1.438596491 | |||
Total | 7 | 56 | ||||
Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | |
Intercept | -10.42105263 | 4.971084441 | -2.096333859 | 0.080886676 | -22.58485806 | 1.7427528 |
Advertising | 0.789473684 | 0.137582343 | 5.738190418 | 0.001217346 | 0.452821818 | 1.126125551 |
Confidence Interval Estimate | |
Data | |
X Value | 40 |
Confidence Level | 95% |
Intermediate Calculations | |
Sample Size | 8 |
Degrees of Freedom | 6 |
t Value | 2.446912 |
XBar, Sample Mean of X | 36 |
Sum of Squared Differences from XBar | 76 |
Standard Error of the Estimate | 1.199415 |
h Statistic | 0.335526 |
Predicted Y (YHat) | 21.15789 |
For Average Y | |
Interval Half Width | 1.700009 |
Confidence Interval Lower Limit | 19.45789 |
Confidence Interval Upper Limit | 22.8579 |
For Individual Response Y | |
Interval Half Width | 3.391674 |
Prediction Interval Lower Limit | 17.76622 |
Prediction Interval Upper Limit | 24.54957 |
a.an estimated regression equation between sales and advertising is
estimated sales = -10.42 +0.7895*Advertisement
b. If the company's advertising expenditure is $400,000, the predicted sales = -10.42 +0.7895*40 = $ 21.15789 million
c. the slope of the estimated regression line indicat that for every one $ increase in advettisment increase the sales by $0.7895 million
d. the coefficient of determination = 0.8459 , about 84.59% variation in sales can be explained by advertisemet throgh the given model Compute the correlation coefficient.
f. the value of F test = 32.927 , and p value is 0.0012 , since p value is less than 0.05 so can say that the regression model is significant .
g. the value of t test = 5.738 ,and p value is 0.0012 , since p value is less than 0.05 so can say that the regression model is significant .
h. a 95% confidence interval for predicting the average sales for the years when $400,000 was spent on advertising is ($17.766 to $24.550)