In: Finance
Nonconstant Growth Stock Valuation
Reizenstein Technologies (RT) has just developed a solar panel capable of generating 200% more electricity than any solar panel currently on the market. As a result, RT is expected to experience a 14% annual growth rate for the next 5 years. By the end of 5 years, other firms will have developed comparable technology, and RT's growth rate will slow to 8% per year indefinitely. Stockholders require a return of 14% on RT's stock. The most recent annual dividend (D0), which was paid yesterday, was $1.30 per share.
D1 = $
D2 = $
D3 = $
D4 = $
D5 = $
Expected dividend yield | % |
Capital gains yield | % |
Expected total return | % |
Expected dividend yield | % |
Capital gains yield | % |
Expected total return | % |
Part (a) | |||||||
Calculation of Dividend paid every year | |||||||
Last paid dividend (D0) = | 1.3 | ||||||
Next 5 years growth rate in dividend is 14% a year and 8 % per year thereafter | |||||||
To calculate D1 to D5, growth rate of 14% is added. To calculate D6, Growth rate of 8% is added to D5. | |||||||
D1 = D0 + (D0 * growth rate) | |||||||
(D0 = 1.30) | 1.482000 | ||||||
D2 = D1 + (D1 * growth rate) | 1.689480 | ||||||
D3 = D2 + (D2 * growth rate) | 1.926007 | ||||||
D4 = D3 + (D3 * growth rate) | 2.195648 | ||||||
D5 = D4 + (D4 * growth rate) | 2.503039 | ||||||
(round off) | |||||||
D1 = | $1.48 | ||||||
D2 = | $1.69 | ||||||
D3 = | $1.93 | ||||||
D4 = | $2.20 | ||||||
D5 = | $2.50 | ||||||
Part (b) | |||||||
D6 = D5 + (D5 * growth rate) | |||||||
= 2.503039 + (2.503039 * 0.08) | 2.703282 | ||||||
Required rate of return (Ke) = | 14 % or | 0.14 | |||||
Growth rate from 6 year = | 8% or | 0.08 | |||||
Present value of stock at end of 5th year (P5) = D6 / (Ke - g) | |||||||
= 2.703282 / (0.14 - 0.08) | |||||||
P5 = | 45.0547 | ||||||
Intrinsic value of Stock is total of discounted or present value of Dividend upto 5 th year and Present value at the end of 5th year. | |||||||
Year | P.V.F. @ 14% | Present Value | |||||
1 | D1 | 1.482000 | 0.877193 | $1.3000 | |||
2 | D2 | 1.689480 | 0.769468 | $1.3000 | |||
3 | D3 | 1.926007 | 0.674972 | $1.3000 | |||
4 | D4 | 2.195648 | 0.592080 | $1.3000 | |||
5 | D5 | 2.503039 | 0.519369 | $1.3000 | |||
5 | P5 | 45.054701 | 0.519369 | $23.4000 | |||
P0 | $29.9000 | ||||||
So, Intrinsic value of Stock is $ 29.90 today (round off up to 2 decimal places) | |||||||
Part (C ) | |||||||
D1 = | 1.482000 | ||||||
P0 = | $29.9000 | ||||||
Expected Dividend Yield = D1 / P0 * 100 | |||||||
1.482000 | / 29.90 * 100 | ||||||
4.956522 | or 4.96% | ||||||
First we shall calculate P0 for calculation of capital gains yield. | |||||||
At end of year 1 (t = 1), Dividend expected next year shall be $ 1.689480 and so on. And Present value at the end of 4th year shall be 45.0547 | |||||||
P.V.F.@14% | Present value | ||||||
D1 | 1.689480 | 0.877193 | 1.482 | ||||
D2 | 1.926007 | 0.769468 | 1.482 | ||||
D3 | 2.195648 | 0.674972 | 1.482 | ||||
D4 | 2.503039 | 0.59208 | 1.482 | ||||
P4 | 45.054701 | 0.59208 | 26.676 | ||||
P1 = | 32.604 | ||||||
So, Present value at end of Year 1 (P1) shall be $32.604. | |||||||
Capital gains expected during first year = ( P1 - P0 ) / P0 * 100 | |||||||
(32.604 - 29.90 ) / 29.90 * 100 | |||||||
9.043478 | or 9.04% | ||||||
Total return = ( D1 + P1 - P0 ) / P0 * 100 | |||||||
(1.4820 + 32.604 - 29.90 ) / 29.90 * 100 | |||||||
14.000000 | |||||||
So, Expected dividend yield is | 4.96 | % | |||||
Capital gains yield is | 9.04 | % | |||||
Expected Total return is | 14.00 | % | |||||
Part (d) | |||||||
D6 = | 2.703282 | ||||||
P5= | $45.0547 | ||||||
Expected Dividend Yield at (t =5) = D6 / P5 * 100 | |||||||
2.703282 | / 45.0547 * 100 | ||||||
6.000000 | or 6.00% | ||||||
First we shall calculate P6 for calculation of capital gains yield. | |||||||
Growth rate is 8% | |||||||
So, Dividend expected next year = 2.703282 + (2.703282 * 0.08) | |||||||
2.919545 | |||||||
P6 = D7 / (ke -g) | |||||||
= 2.919545 / (0.14 - 0.08) | |||||||
48.65908 | |||||||
So, Present value at end of Year 6 (P6) shall be $48.65908. | |||||||
Capital gains expected during fifth year = ( P6 - P5 ) / P5 * 100 | |||||||
(48.65908 - 45.0547 ) / 45.0547 * 10 | |||||||
8.000000 | or 8.00% | ||||||
Total return = ( D6 + P6 - P5 ) / P5 * 100 | |||||||
2.703282 + 48.65908 - 45.0547 ) / 45.0547 * 100 | |||||||
14.000000 | or 14% | ||||||
So, Expected dividend yield is | 6.00 | % | |||||
Capital gains yield is | 8.00 | % | |||||
Expected Total return is | 14.00 | % | |||||