In: Finance
Nonconstant Growth Stock Valuation
Reizenstein Technologies (RT) has just developed a solar panel capable of generating 200% more electricity than any solar panel currently on the market. As a result, RT is expected to experience a 14% annual growth rate for the next 5 years. By the end of 5 years, other firms will have developed comparable technology, and RT's growth rate will slow to 7% per year indefinitely. Stockholders require a return of 16% on RT's stock. The most recent annual dividend (D0), which was paid yesterday, was $1.45 per share.
D1 = $
D2 = $
D3 = $
D4 = $
D5 = $
Expected dividend yield | % |
Capital gains yield | % |
Expected total return | % |
Expected dividend yield | % |
Capital gains yield | % |
Expected total return | % |
Years | Expected Dividend | PV @ 16% | PV of dividend |
0 | 1.45 | ||
1 | 1.653 | 0.862069 | 1.425 |
2 | 1.884 | 0.743163 | 1.400431034 |
3 | 2.148 | 0.640658 | 1.376285672 |
4 | 2.449 | 0.552291 | 1.352556609 |
5 | 2.792 | 0.476113 | 1.329236667 |
6.884 | |||
Price at t= 5 | 16.83699778 | ||
Intrinsic Value | 42.25 |
The Expected Dividend formula used here is D0(1+g) where g = 14%
Present Value Formula = 1/(1+r)^n where r = 16%, n = the respective year
Price at T=5 has been calculated by the formula D6/(ke-g) where D6 = D5(1+g), ke is = 16%, g = 7%
Intrinsic Value has been calculated by the formula = Sum of PV of Dividends + (Price at T5 ) / (1+.16)^5
Expected Dividend Yield(D1) has the formula = DPS / Market Price * 100
Market Price of Share at T1 = D2/ (ke - g) = 1.884 / (.16-.14) = 94.2
Dividend Yield D1 = 1.653 / 94.2 * 100 = 1.75%
Capital Gain Yield = (P1 - P0) / P0 *100
P1 = 94.2
P0 = D1/(ke- g) = 1.653 / (.16-.14) = 82.65
Capital Gain Yield = (94.2 - 82.65 )/ 82.65 * 100 = 13.974 = 13.97%
Expected Total Return at D1 = 1.75 + 13.97 = 15.72 %
At t = 5
Expected Dividend Yield = D6 / Market Price at T= 5 * 100
D6 = D5(1.07) = 2.987
Market Price = 2.987/(.16-.07) = 33.188
Expected Dividend Yield = 2.987/ 33.188 * 100 = 9 %
Capital Gain Yield =( P6 - P5 ) / P5 *100 =
P6 = 2.987*1.07 / (.16-.07) = 35.521
CGY = (35.521- 33.188) / 33.188 * 100 = 7.029 = 7.03%
Expected Total Return = 7.03%+ 9% = 16.03%