In: Statistics and Probability
A certain genetic mutation occurs in 5% of the population of Whoville. The mutation causes otherwise normal adult Whos to grow green tail feathers during full moons. A test for this mutation has a sensitivity of 95% and a specificity of 98%. This means that the probability that a Who with the mutation tests positive is 95%, and the probability that a Who without the mutation tests positive is 100%-98%=2%.
If a random adult Who is tested for the mutation, then the probability of a positive result is
Group of answer choices
13.56%
6.65%
5%
95%
If a randomly selected Who tests positive for the mutation, then the probability that this Who actually has the mutation is
Group of answer choices
70.8%
5%
71.43%
95%
Let
A certain genetic mutation occurs in 5% of the population of Whoville. This is same as the probability that a randomly selected Who has the mutation is 0.05
P(M)=0.05
the probability that a randomly selected Who does not have the mutation is
P(NM) = 1- P(M) =1-0.05 = 0.95
The mutation causes otherwise normal adult Whos to grow green tail feathers during full moons. A test for this mutation has a sensitivity of 95% and a specificity of 98%.
This means that the probability that a Who with the mutation tests positive is 95%,
and the probability that a Who without the mutation tests positive is 100%-98%=2%.
If a random adult Who is tested for the mutation, then the probability of a positive result is
If a random adult Who is tested for the mutation, then the probability of a positive result is 0.0665
ans: 6.65%
If a randomly selected Who tests positive for the mutation, then the probability that this Who actually has the mutation is
If a randomly selected Who tests positive for the mutation, then the probability that this Who actually has the mutation is 0.7143
ans: 71.43%