In: Finance
istina just won the lottery, and she must choose among three award options. She can elect to receive a lump sum today of $64 million, to receive 10 end-of-year payments of $9.9 million, or to receive 30 end-of-year payments of $5.9 million. If she thinks she can earn 7% percent annually, which should she choose? -Select- If she expects to earn 8% annually, which is the best choice? -Select- If she expects to earn 9% annually, which option would you recommend? -Select- Explain how interest rates influence her choice.
We need to compare present values of all 3 options to choose the best option.
She should choose to receive 30 end-of-year payments of $5.9 million if she can earn 7% percent annually because this option has the highest present value.
Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | |||
Annual payments | $9.90 | Annual payments | $5.90 | ||
No. of years | 10 | No. of years | 30 | ||
Future value | $0 | Future value | $0 | ||
Interest rate | 7% | Interest rate | 7% | ||
Present value | $64 | Present value | $69.53 | Present value | $73.21 |
Calculation
If she expects to earn 8% annually then she should choose to receive 10 end-of-year payments of $9.9 million because this option has the highest present value.
Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | |||
Annual payments | $9.90 | Annual payments | $5.90 | ||
No. of years | 10 | No. of years | 30 | ||
Future value | $0 | Future value | $0 | ||
Interest rate | 8% | Interest rate | 8% | ||
Present value | $64 | Present value | $66.43 | Present value | $66.42 |
Calculation
If she expects to earn 9% annually then she should choose to receive 10 end-of-year payments of $9.9 million because this option has the highest present value.
Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | |||
Annual payments | $9.90 | Annual payments | $5.90 | ||
No. of years | 10 | No. of years | 30 | ||
Future value | $0 | Future value | $0 | ||
Interest rate | 9% | Interest rate | 9% | ||
Present value | $64 | Present value | $63.53 | Present value | $60.61 |
Calculation
Higher interest of 8% and 9% accumulated higher return on higher annual cash flow of $9.9 million. so, its present value is also higher than lower annual cash flow of $5.9 million.
If interest rates were lower than 7% for example say 5% or 6% than lower annual cash flow of $5.9 million would have accumulated more value due to its higher duration or no. of years of cash flows.