In: Statistics and Probability
Direct mail advertisers send solicitations ("junk mail") to thousands of potential customers in the hope that some will buy the company's product. The response rate is usually quite low. Suppose a company wants to test the response to a new flyer and sends it to1030 people randomly selected from their mailing list of over 200,000 people. They get orders from 104 of the recipients. Use this information to complete parts a through d.
a) Create a 90% confidence interval for the percentage of people the company contacts who may buy something.
(__%___%)
(Round to one decimal place as needed.)
We are asked to find 90% confidence interval for the percentage of people the company contacts who may buy something.
Let x be the number of people the company contacts who may buy something.
n is the total number of people randomly selected from their mailing list.
We are given x = 104 and n = 1030
Therefore = x/n = 0.101
Lower bound = - E
Upper bound = + E
E is margin of error =
z is critical value follows standard normal distribution , we can find its value using z score table.
We are given confidence level = 0.90
Therefore α = 1 - 0.90 = 0.1 , 1 - (α/2) = 0.95
So we have to find z score corresponding to area 0.9500 on z score table
So z = 1.645
E = 1.645*
E = 0.0154
Lower bound = - E = 0.101 - 0.0154 = 0.0856 or 8.6%
Upper bound = + E = 0.101 + 0.0154 = 0.1164 or 11.6%
Therefore 90% confidence interval for the percentage of people the company contacts who may buy something
( 8.6% , 11.6%)